On the importance of wind predictions in wake steering optimization

Abstract. Wake steering is a technique that optimizes the energy production of a wind farm by employing yaw control to misalign upstream turbines with the incoming wind direction. This work highlights the important dependence between wind direction variations and wake steering optimization. The problem is formalized over time as the succession of multiple steady-state yaw control problems interconnected by the rotational constraints of the turbines and the evolution of the wind. Then, this work proposes a reformulation of the yaw optimization problem of each time step by augmenting the objective function by a new heuristic based on a wind prediction. The heuristic acts as a penalization for the optimization, encouraging solutions that will guarantee future energy production. Finally, a synthetic sensitivity analysis of the wind direction variations and wake steering optimization is conducted. Because of the rotational constraints of the turbines, as the magnitude of the wind direction fluctuations increases, the importance of considering wind prediction in a steady-state optimization is empirically demonstrated. The heuristic proposed in this work greatly improves the performance of controllers and significantly reduces the complexity of the original sequential decision problem by decreasing the number of decision variables.