统一中亚国家的地震信息:地震目录和活动断层

Valerio Poggi, S. Parolai, N. Silacheva, A. Ischuk, K. Abdrakhmatov, Zainalobudin V. Kobuliev, V. Ismailov, Roman Ibragimov, Japar Karaev, Paola Ceresa, P. Bazzurro
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要众所周知,包括哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯共和国、塔吉克斯坦、土库曼斯坦和乌兹别克斯坦在内的中亚国家极易遭受自然灾害,尤其是地震、洪水和山体滑坡。为了加强中亚地区的金融抗灾能力和基于风险的投资,规划促进灾害和气候抗灾能力,欧洲联盟与世界银行和全球减灾和灾后恢复基金(GFDRR)合作,启动了 "加强中亚地区金融抗灾能力和加速降低风险"(SFRARR)区域计划。在这一框架内,成立了一个由国家和国际科学机构组成的联合体,其任务是制定区域一致的多灾害和多资产概率风险评估。总体目标是提高对当地危险的科学认识,为当地利益相关者和政府提供支持风险管理战略的最新工具。然而,只有在准确的危险评估基础上才能开发综合风险模型,而危险评估的可靠性在很大程度上取决于当地数据和直接观测的可用性。本文介绍了中亚国家实施地震概率模型所需的输入数据集的准备工作。特别是,本文讨论了如何编制一份新的地区地震目录,该目录应在各国之间统一,并在矩震级(Mw)上同质化,还讨论了如何编制一个地区数据库,该数据库包含用于构建震源模型的选定活动断层及相关滑动率信息。这项工作是与当地科学界的专家合作开展的,他们的贡献对合理编制两个统一的数据集至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Harmonizing seismicity information in Central Asian countries: earthquake catalogue and active faults
Abstract. Central Asian countries, which include Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, are known to be highly exposed to natural hazards, particularly earthquakes, floods, and landslides. With the aim of enhancing financial resilience and risk-based investment, planning to promote disaster and climate resilience in Central Asia, the European Union, in collaboration with the World Bank and the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR), launched the Strengthening Financial Resilience and Accelerating Risk Reduction in Central Asia (SFRARR) regional programme. Within this framework, a consortium of national and international scientific institutions was established and tasked with developing a regionally consistent multi-hazard and multi-asset probabilistic risk assessment. The overall goal was to improve scientific understanding on local perils and to provide local stakeholders and governments with up-to-date tools to support risk management strategies. However, the development of a comprehensive risk model can only be done with the basis of an accurate hazard evaluation, the reliability of which depends significantly on the availability of local data and direct observations. This paper describes the preparation of the input datasets required for the implementation of a probabilistic earthquake model for the Central Asian countries. In particular, it discusses the preparation of a new regional earthquake catalogue harmonized between countries and homogenized in moment magnitude (Mw), as well as the preparation of a regional database of selected active faults with associated slip rate information to be used for the construction of the earthquake source model. The work was carried out in collaboration with experts from the local scientific community, whose contribution proved essential for the rational compilation of the two harmonized datasets.
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