安纳托利亚西部的 4.2 ka BP 事件:追踪气候变化的影响

Çağlayan Bal, Evangelia Pişkin
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摘要

在许多社会变迁的场合,人们都要求用气候变化来解释。气候恶化影响社会的方式似乎很简单:它导致环境改变,使重要的生存资源不再充足。然而,如何在考古记录中识别和验证这些变化并不清楚,而且也没有一种简单的方法来澄清所观察到的生存模式的改变是气候变化还是其他因素造成的后果。此外,测量气候波动的古环境数据也存在一些问题,主要涉及事件发生的确切时间和强度,而这些可能并不具有普遍性。在这项研究中,我们通过一组已公布的数据,研究了公元前 4.2 ka 年的气候事件及其对安纳托利亚西部社会可能产生的影响。我们讨论了从现有的古环境数据中获得的有关该事件的信息,以及此类研究的不足之处。我们研究了特洛伊、库吕奥巴、坎勒格奇特和卡拉塔什-塞马尤克的农牧经济,根据我们认为是干旱化应对指标的一系列标准,研究其可能发生的变化。我们发现了不同的策略,这可能与每个地点不同的当地环境或独特的社会结构有关。我们认为部分转向游牧是基于定居模式变化的一种适应策略。最后,我们根据其他可能的解释来评估我们的发现,因为观察到的模式可能有多种解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The 4.2 ka BP event in western Anatolia: Tracing the impact of climatic change
Climatic change has been called for as an explanation on many occasions of societal change. The way climatic deterioration affects societies appears to be straightforward; it causes such alterations in the environment that critical subsistence resources are not anymore available in sufficient abundance. Nevertheless, it is not clear how these alterations can be identified and verified in the archeological record, and there is not an easy way to clarify if modifications observed in subsistence patterns are the consequences of climatic change or other agents. Additionally, there is a number of problems related to paleoenvironmental data that measure the climatic fluctuations, mostly concerning the exact timing of events and their intensity which may not have been the same universally. In this research, we examine the 4.2 ka BP climatic event and its possible effects on western Anatolian societies through a set of published data. We discuss the information we have about the event from available paleoenvironmental data and the gaps in this kind of research. We examine the agropastoral economy from Troy, Küllüoba, Kanlıgeçit, and Karataş-Semayük for possible changes according to a set of criteria that we consider as indicators of responses to aridification. We found diverging strategies that may relate to the different local environments or varying societal structures unique to each site. We consider a partial turn to nomadic pastoralism as an adaptation strategy based on changes in settlement patterns. Finally, we evaluate our findings against other possible explanations since the observed patterns could have had multiple explanations.
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