Segmental deformity markers offer novel indicators of deformity progression risk in deformity-matched adolescent idiopathic scoliosis patients.

Purpose: Identification of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) patients with mild curvatures who pose significant risk of progressing to severe levels of curvatures is of paramount importance for clinical care. This study aimed to compare segmental deformity changes in AIS sub-cohorts that are dichotomised by progression status.

Methods: Thirty-six female participants with Lenke 1 AIS curves were investigated with sequential MRIs during growth. Scans were reformatted to measure orthogonal segmental parameters, including sagittal/coronal wedging angles and axial rotation angles. Participants were dichotomised by progression. Two-tailed, independent sample t-tests were used to compare sub-cohort multi-segmental and segmental deformity parameters. Measurements were compared at each scan number and variable rates of change were determined using actual time between measures.

Results: AIS progression status sub-cohorts were comparable at scan 1 for multi-segmental deformity parameters (e.g. major thoracic curve angle, rib hump, kyphosis) (P > 0.05). However, apical measures of coronal IVD wedging, axial IVD rotation and axial vertebral rotation were segmental parameters at scan 1 which were larger for participants whose AIS would later go on to clinically progress (all P < 0.05). Measures of segmental hypokyphosis were comparable between groups. As development was tracked at each subsequent scan, coronal and axial plane differences between groups increased in both magnitude and number of differences.

Conclusion: Initial disparity and then subsequent increasing magnitude of change of axial rotation may indicate a higher propensity to clinically progress in the future. This knowledge hopes to provide useful management information for AIS care providers and prognostic education for patients alike.

Level of evidence: II.