揭示中东和北非地区腐败与股市表现之间的联系:面板 ARDL 模型的启示。(实证研究)

Sarah Sobhy Mohamed Hassan, Yasser Tawfik Halim Tawfik, Mohamed Samy Tawfik El Deeb, Esmat Mostafa Mohamed Kamel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

:目的:本研究的主要目的是调查不同国家组中腐败与金融市场指标之间的关系。我们的目标是仔细研究腐败对交易量、市值和交易比率的潜在影响,同时考虑国内生产总值和通货膨胀的影响。通过对廉政国家和腐败国家的全面考察,我们的研究旨在为理解腐败如何影响金融市场做出贡献。设计/方法/途径:与以往将中东和北非地区作为一个集体数据集进行研究的主流趋势不同,我们的研究方法是根据腐败程度将中东和北非国家分为两个不同的类别。我们采用定量方法,使用横跨不同国家的面板数据。我们的分析采用了各种计量经济学模型,包括随机效应和固定效应模型(ARDL),以仔细研究相关关系。为了考虑对观察结果的潜在影响,我们将控制变量(特别是通货膨胀和国内生产总值)纳入模型。研究结果我们的研究结果表明,在不同国家组中,腐败对金融市场指标的影响存在显著差异。腐败与市值、交易量呈负相关,而与交易比率呈正相关。此外,国内生产总值和通货膨胀这两个控制变量也对这些关系产生了明显的影响。研究结果还强调了腐败作为金融市场表现的决定因素在腐败国家和廉洁国家的重要性。原创性/价值:本研究通过对腐败与金融市场指标之间关系的深入研究,为现有知识库增添了重要价值。通过整合多种计量经济学方法,并考虑到国内生产总值和通货膨胀的调节作用,我们的研究全面深入地揭示了腐败与金融市场指标之间的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unraveling the Link between Corruption and Stock Market Performance in the MENA Region: Insights from Panel ARDL Model. (Empirical study)
: Purpose: The primary purpose of this study undertaking is to investigate the relationship between corruption and financial market indicators across diverse groups of countries. Our goal is to scrutinize the potential effects of corruption on trading volumes, market capitalization, and trading ratios, while considering the influence of GDP and inflation. Through a thorough examination of both nations characterized by clean governance and those plagued by corruption, our research seeks to contribute to the understanding of how corruption impacts financial markets. Design/Methodology/Approach: Diverging from the predominant trend in previous studies that treated the MENA region as a collective dataset, our methodology involves classifying MENA countries into two distinct categories based on their corruption levels. We employ a quantitative approach using panel data that spans a diverse array of nations. Our analysis utilizes various econometric models, including random-effects and fixed-effects models (ARDL), to scrutinize the relevant relationships. To account for potential influences on observed outcomes, we integrate control variables, specifically inflation and GDP, into the models. Findings: Our findings demonstrate significant variations in the impact of corruption on financial market indicators across different country groups. Corruption exhibits negative associations with market capitalization, trading volumes, and positive association with trading ratios. Additionally, the control variables GDP and inflation contribute distinctively to these relationships. The results also highlight the significance of corruption as a determinant of financial market performance in both corrupt countries and clean countries. Originality/Value: This study adds significant value to the existing knowledge base by conducting a thorough investigation into the relationship between corruption and financial market indicators. Through the integration of diverse econometric methods and considering the moderating effects of GDP and inflation, our research offers a comprehensive insight into the
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