巴基斯坦即将到来的危机

IF 5.5 3区材料科学 Q2 CHEMISTRY, PHYSICAL

ACS Applied Energy Materials Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1353/jod.2024.a930428

Adeel Malik, Maya Tudor

{"title":"巴基斯坦即将到来的危机","authors":"Adeel Malik, Maya Tudor","doi":"10.1353/jod.2024.a930428","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract:Pakistan's 2024 elections delivered a shocking surprise. Imran Khan's PTI won the largest number of seats amid heavy state repression. With this result, well-worn political patterns—whereby military favor virtually guaranteed a party's electoral success—were upended. This essay argues that Pakistan's 2024 election is not a \"black swan\" event but instead signals a coming crisis of governability that grows out of three structural changes: the rise of an aspirational middle class, the erosion of traditional authority patterns, and an intensifying economic and climate crisis. Consequently, a historic loss of military legitimacy is unlikely to abate in years ahead.","PeriodicalId":4,"journal":{"name":"ACS Applied Energy Materials","volume":"57 1","pages":"69 - 83"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Pakistan's Coming Crisis\",\"authors\":\"Adeel Malik, Maya Tudor\",\"doi\":\"10.1353/jod.2024.a930428\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract:Pakistan's 2024 elections delivered a shocking surprise. Imran Khan's PTI won the largest number of seats amid heavy state repression. With this result, well-worn political patterns—whereby military favor virtually guaranteed a party's electoral success—were upended. This essay argues that Pakistan's 2024 election is not a \\\"black swan\\\" event but instead signals a coming crisis of governability that grows out of three structural changes: the rise of an aspirational middle class, the erosion of traditional authority patterns, and an intensifying economic and climate crisis. Consequently, a historic loss of military legitimacy is unlikely to abate in years ahead.\",\"PeriodicalId\":4,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ACS Applied Energy Materials\",\"volume\":\"57 1\",\"pages\":\"69 - 83\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ACS Applied Energy Materials\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2024.a930428\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"材料科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, PHYSICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ACS Applied Energy Materials","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2024.a930428","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"材料科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, PHYSICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要：巴基斯坦 2024 年大选令人震惊。伊姆兰-汗领导的巴基斯坦人民党在国家的严厉镇压下赢得了最多的席位。这一结果颠覆了沿袭已久的政治模式--军方的支持几乎保证了政党选举的成功。本文认为，巴基斯坦 2024 年大选并非 "黑天鹅 "事件，而是即将到来的可治理性危机的信号，它源于三个结构性变化：有抱负的中产阶级的崛起、传统权威模式的削弱以及经济和气候危机的加剧。因此，军事合法性的历史性丧失在未来几年不太可能缓解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Pakistan's Coming Crisis

Abstract:Pakistan's 2024 elections delivered a shocking surprise. Imran Khan's PTI won the largest number of seats amid heavy state repression. With this result, well-worn political patterns—whereby military favor virtually guaranteed a party's electoral success—were upended. This essay argues that Pakistan's 2024 election is not a "black swan" event but instead signals a coming crisis of governability that grows out of three structural changes: the rise of an aspirational middle class, the erosion of traditional authority patterns, and an intensifying economic and climate crisis. Consequently, a historic loss of military legitimacy is unlikely to abate in years ahead.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

ACS Applied Energy Materials Materials Science-Materials Chemistry

CiteScore

10.30

自引率

6.20%

发文量

1368

期刊介绍： ACS Applied Energy Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of materials, engineering, chemistry, physics and biology relevant to energy conversion and storage. The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrate knowledge in the areas of materials, engineering, physics, bioscience, and chemistry into important energy applications.