Sari F. Alkhatib, T. Sakurahara, S. Reihani, Ernest Kee, Brian Ratte, Kristin Kaspar, Sean Hunt, Z. Mohaghegh
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引用次数: 0
摘要
仿真建模对于支持核电厂(NPP)的概率风险评估(PRA)至关重要。然而,仿真建模面临着一个挑战,即收集数据以确定输入参数值所需的时间和资源。为了缓解这一挑战,本文开发了一种正式的方法来生成输入参数的代用值,该方法以现象学无量纲参数 (PNP) 的分解为基础,同时避免了详细的数据收集。虽然所建议方法的基本原理可适用于各种危害,但本文的发展重点是将火灾 PRA 作为一个示例应用领域,因为资源密集是其公认的实际挑战。本文还开发了一个计算平台,用于自动进行 PNP 分解,并将其与实践中的火灾情景分析无缝集成。计算平台的适用性通过一个国家核电厂的多隔室火灾案例研究得到了验证。该计算平台嵌入了 PNP 分解方法,可大幅减少输入数据收集和提取所需的工作量,从而促进在 PRA 中有效使用仿真建模,并加强火灾情景筛选分析。
Phenomenological Nondimensional Parameter Decomposition to Enhance the Use of Simulation Modeling in Fire Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants
Simulation modeling is crucial in support of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) for nuclear power plants (NPPs). There is a challenge, however, associated with simulation modeling that relates to the time and resources required for collecting data to determine the values of the input parameters. To alleviate this challenge, this article develops a formalized methodology to generate surrogate values of input parameters grounded on the decomposition of phenomenological nondimensional parameters (PNPs) while avoiding detailed data collection. While the fundamental principles of the proposed methodology can be applicable to various hazards, the developments in this article focus on fire PRA as an example application area for which resource intensiveness is recognized as a practical challenge. This article also develops a computational platform to automate the PNP decomposition and seamlessly integrates it with state-of-practice fire scenario analysis. The applicability of the computational platform is demonstrated through a multi-compartment fire case study at an NPP. The computational platform, with its embedded PNP decomposition methodology, can substantially reduce the effort required for input data collection and extraction, thereby facilitating the efficient use of simulation modeling in PRA and enhancing the fire scenario screening analysis.