Pius Onoja Ibrahim, Harald Sternberg, Lazarus Mustapha Ojigi
{"title":"利用马尔可夫链和细胞自动机算法估算开恩寺水库未来的测深面","authors":"Pius Onoja Ibrahim, Harald Sternberg, Lazarus Mustapha Ojigi","doi":"10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The menace of sedimentation to reservoirs has a significant implication for water quality, storage capacity and reservoir lifetime. Rainfall patterns and other anthropogenic and environmental impacts alter the erosion rate and, by extension, directly affect sedimentation rates if left unchecked. This research focused on using the integration of Markov Chains and Cellular Automata (MC – CA) models to estimate and forecast the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir in Nigeria for the year 2050. The bathymetric datasets used for this research comprise two different epochs (1990 and 2020). The datasets were acquired using a Single Beam Echosounder at Low and High frequencies of 20 kHz and 200 kHz. The preliminary investigation revealed that sedimentation is exacerbating a greater danger to the reservoir functionality. The results show that the maximum observed depth is 71.2 m, indicating a 7.53% loss in depth from the 1990 archived data and a 16.24% depth loss to sedimentation from 1968 to 2020 and 22.35% depth loss in the year 2050 as shown on the projected surface. Consequently, the integrated model (MC and CA) efficiently predicted the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir for the year 2050 based on the data characteristics. However, the proven techniques for analysing spatial data, such as the Markov Chain and Cellular Automata, best suited for analysing categorical transition data, show some artefacts (black spots) on the projected generated map which is subject to further investigation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46286,"journal":{"name":"Applied Geomatics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimating future bathymetric surface of Kainji Reservoir using Markov Chains and Cellular Automata algorithms\",\"authors\":\"Pius Onoja Ibrahim, Harald Sternberg, Lazarus Mustapha Ojigi\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>The menace of sedimentation to reservoirs has a significant implication for water quality, storage capacity and reservoir lifetime. Rainfall patterns and other anthropogenic and environmental impacts alter the erosion rate and, by extension, directly affect sedimentation rates if left unchecked. This research focused on using the integration of Markov Chains and Cellular Automata (MC – CA) models to estimate and forecast the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir in Nigeria for the year 2050. The bathymetric datasets used for this research comprise two different epochs (1990 and 2020). The datasets were acquired using a Single Beam Echosounder at Low and High frequencies of 20 kHz and 200 kHz. The preliminary investigation revealed that sedimentation is exacerbating a greater danger to the reservoir functionality. The results show that the maximum observed depth is 71.2 m, indicating a 7.53% loss in depth from the 1990 archived data and a 16.24% depth loss to sedimentation from 1968 to 2020 and 22.35% depth loss in the year 2050 as shown on the projected surface. Consequently, the integrated model (MC and CA) efficiently predicted the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir for the year 2050 based on the data characteristics. However, the proven techniques for analysing spatial data, such as the Markov Chain and Cellular Automata, best suited for analysing categorical transition data, show some artefacts (black spots) on the projected generated map which is subject to further investigation.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46286,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Applied Geomatics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Applied Geomatics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"REMOTE SENSING\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Geomatics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12518-024-00564-9","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"REMOTE SENSING","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimating future bathymetric surface of Kainji Reservoir using Markov Chains and Cellular Automata algorithms
The menace of sedimentation to reservoirs has a significant implication for water quality, storage capacity and reservoir lifetime. Rainfall patterns and other anthropogenic and environmental impacts alter the erosion rate and, by extension, directly affect sedimentation rates if left unchecked. This research focused on using the integration of Markov Chains and Cellular Automata (MC – CA) models to estimate and forecast the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir in Nigeria for the year 2050. The bathymetric datasets used for this research comprise two different epochs (1990 and 2020). The datasets were acquired using a Single Beam Echosounder at Low and High frequencies of 20 kHz and 200 kHz. The preliminary investigation revealed that sedimentation is exacerbating a greater danger to the reservoir functionality. The results show that the maximum observed depth is 71.2 m, indicating a 7.53% loss in depth from the 1990 archived data and a 16.24% depth loss to sedimentation from 1968 to 2020 and 22.35% depth loss in the year 2050 as shown on the projected surface. Consequently, the integrated model (MC and CA) efficiently predicted the future bathymetric surface of the Kainji reservoir for the year 2050 based on the data characteristics. However, the proven techniques for analysing spatial data, such as the Markov Chain and Cellular Automata, best suited for analysing categorical transition data, show some artefacts (black spots) on the projected generated map which is subject to further investigation.
期刊介绍:
Applied Geomatics (AGMJ) is the official journal of SIFET the Italian Society of Photogrammetry and Topography and covers all aspects and information on scientific and technical advances in the geomatics sciences. The Journal publishes innovative contributions in geomatics applications ranging from the integration of instruments, methodologies and technologies and their use in the environmental sciences, engineering and other natural sciences.
The areas of interest include many research fields such as: remote sensing, close range and videometric photogrammetry, image analysis, digital mapping, land and geographic information systems, geographic information science, integrated geodesy, spatial data analysis, heritage recording; network adjustment and numerical processes. Furthermore, Applied Geomatics is open to articles from all areas of deformation measurements and analysis, structural engineering, mechanical engineering and all trends in earth and planetary survey science and space technology. The Journal also contains notices of conferences and international workshops, industry news, and information on new products. It provides a useful forum for professional and academic scientists involved in geomatics science and technology.
Information on Open Research Funding and Support may be found here: https://www.springernature.com/gp/open-research/institutional-agreements