在数字创业基础上恢复乌克兰经济:战后发展的预测展望、模式和设想

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Kateryna Kraus, N. Kraus, G. Pochenchuk, O. Manzhura, Vitaly Kyrpushko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

科学研究的目的是提出恢复乌克兰经济的工具和措施,并找到加快企业和创业数字化的储备,这将成为乌克兰创新和数字化发展的主要 "小提琴 "之一,在战后发展的情况下,乌克兰将拥有光明的金融和经济前景。科学研究的对象是 2000 年至 2023 年的电信、计算机和信息服务领域,以及对该领域服务出口指标的分析,由于引入信息和通信领域的产品和服务而扩大的数字化创业机会是战后重建期间创新和数字化发展的关键储备之一。介绍了购买进口产品的抵消义务类型,包括:技术转让、在进口国境内开设联合生产;直接投资、发展数字基础设施和研发投资。此外,还提出了促进传统企业数字化的措施,特别是:建立乌克兰创新发展数字银行,对数字和创新领域新创建的数字企业的收入实行优惠税收。研究认为,在科技园区的国家数字生态系统内为数字企业的创新、投资和商业活动创造有利条件,将加快乌克兰经济的战后重建。研究成果的实际意义在于,无论乌克兰处于何种战争状态,实用建议的内容都将有助于保持电信、计算机和信息服务出口的积极态势。本研究报告的价值在于,在对 2000 年至 2023 年商业服务出口动态以及电信、计算机和信息服务领域服务出口动态的统计数据进行深入分析后,作者成功确定了近似值的相对误差--评估预测可靠性的标准,即 1.74%,并考虑了近似值的质量,对 2026 年的预测是可靠的。我们认为这是国家通过在国外市场销售优质产品并因此增加国内生产总值来赚钱的机会之一。建议制定一项计划,支持信息和通信技术领域的数字创业,并开设地区技术中心,与当地企业家共同开展工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Recovery of the Economy of Ukraine on the Basis of Digital Entrepreneurship: Forecast Expectations, Models and Scenarios of Post-War Development
The purpose of scientific research is to present tools and measures for the recovery of the economy of Ukraine and to find reserves for accelerating the digitalization of business and entrepreneurship, which will play one of the main ‘violins’ of the innovative and digital development of Ukraine with a bright financial and economic future in the scenario of post-war development. The object of scientific research is the sphere of telecommunications, computer and information services from 2000 to 2023, and the analysis of indicators of the export of services in this sphere, the expansion of digital opportunities of entrepreneurship due to the introduction of products and services of the information and communication sphere as one of the key reserves of innovative and digital development during post-war reconstruction. Types of offset obligations for the purchase of imported products are presented, including: transfer of technologies, opening of joint production in the territory of the importer; direct investments, development of digital infrastructure, and investments in R&D. Measures to promote the digitization of traditional entrepreneurship are named, in particular: the creation of the Digital Bank of Innovative Development of Ukraine and the introduction of preferential taxation of incomes of newly created digital enterprises in the field of digital and innovation. It was determined that the creation of favorable conditions for innovation, investment, and commercial activities of digital enterprises, within the national digital ecosystem in technology parks, will speed up the post-war reconstruction of Ukraine’s economy. The practical significance of the research results is that the content of practical advice, the use of which will make it possible to preserve the positive dynamics of the export of services in terms of telecommunications, computer, and information services, regardless of the state of war in Ukraine, is disclosed. The value of the presented research is that having conducted a thorough analysis of statistical data on the dynamics of the export of business services and the dynamics of the export of services in the field of telecommunications, computer, and information services from 2000 to 2023, the authors managed to determine the relative error of approximation – a criterion for assessing the reliability of the forecast, which was 1.74% and to consider the approximation quality, and the forecast for 2026 is reliable. We consider this to be one of the opportunities for the country to make money by selling a quality product in foreign markets and as a result increasing the GDP. It is proposed to develop a program to support digital entrepreneurship in the field of information and communication technologies and to open regional technocenters for joint work with local entrepreneurs.
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来源期刊
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
180
期刊介绍: WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics publishes original research papers relating to the global economy. We aim to bring important work using any economic approach to a wide international audience and therefore only publish papers of exceptional scientific value that advance our understanding of finances. The research presented must transcend the limits of case studies, while both experimental and theoretical studies are accepted. While its main emphasis is economic, it is a multi-disciplinary journal and therefore its content mirrors the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with the international dimensions of business, economics, finance, history, law, marketing, management, political science, and related areas. It also welcomes scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
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