用于模拟数据稀缺流域流量的多种概念水文模型:越南考河流域的应用

Thach Tran Tuan
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摘要

溪流在水资源管理中起着至关重要的作用,需要精确估算,尤其是在数据稀缺的河流流域。本研究介绍了多种水文模型(HYMOD、GR4J 和 NAM),并以数据稀缺的越南考河流域 Thac Rieng 站为例,模拟了该流域的溪流。采用纳什-萨特克利夫效率 (NSE)、相关系数 (r)、克林-古普塔效率 (KGE) 和均方根误差 (RMSE) 四个指标来定量评估模型性能。首先,利用现有的 1960 年 1 月 1 日至 1981 年 12 月 31 日的水文气象数据,采用亚利桑那大学的洗牌复杂进化优化方法确定了各模型的参数。结果表明,三种模式都能较好地再现观测到的河水流量,NSE 在 0.65 到 0.75 之间,r 和 KGE 在 0.72 到 0.87 之间,RMSE 小于观测到的河水流量的 6.5%。其次,发现 NAM 模型最适合模拟所研究流域的观测流量。第三,应用三种模式模拟 1982 年 1 月 1 日至 2022 年 12 月 31 日期间的河水流量,结果显示观测和估算河水流量的四项统计指标的大小相近。最后讨论了这三种模型模拟数据稀缺流域河水流量的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multiple conceptual hydrological models for simulating streamflow in data-sparse river basins: an application of the Vietnamese Cau river basin
Streamflow plays a critical role in water resources management, requiring precise estimation, especially in data-sparse river basins. In this study, multiple hydrological models (HYMOD, GR4J, and NAM) are presented and employed to simulate streamflow in the data-sparse Vietnamese Cau river basin at the Thac Rieng station, providing an illustrative example. Four indices named Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), correlation coefficient (r), Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), and root mean square error (RMSE) are implemented to quantitatively assess model performance. Firstly, using the available hydrometeorological data from 1 January 1960 to 31 December 1981, parameters in each model are determined using the Shuffled Complex Evolution University of Arizona optimization method. The results show that three models reproduced acceptably observed streamflow, with NSE ranging from 0.65 to 0.75, r and KGE varying between 0.72 and 0.87, and RMSE is less than 6.5% of the observed streamflow magnitude. Secondly, the NAM model was found as the most suitable for simulating observed streamflow in the studied river basin. Thirdly, three models were applied to simulate streamflow in the period from 1 January 1982 to 31 December 2022, revealing similar magnitudes of four statistical indicators of observed and estimated streamflow. The capability of the three models in simulating streamflow in data-sparse river basins is finally discussed.
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