美国印太战略对中印经济合作的影响

Liuting Song
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摘要

由于其独特的地理位置、政治和经济实力以及其他因素,印度已逐渐成为美国在南亚的印太战略布局的重要组成部分。通过在印太经济框架(IPEF)内的合作努力,美印两国通过调整政策取向来解决共同利益和遏制中国,从而促进了项目合作。对中印两国经贸互动的分析表明,从多个角度看,两国的合作呈下降趋势。作为一项战略举措,印度于2019年选择退出中国主导的《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》,以根据其战略目标优先发展经贸关系。此外,印度还通过美国的印太战略获得了高科技产业的支持和进步,从而减少了与中国在这一领域的合作。此外,美印两国还采取措施实现供应链多元化,探索替代贸易路线,避开中国,促进地区产业转移。这一转变促使印度更加重视发展高科技产业,以减少对中国产业链供应的依赖。这些举措也促进了 IPEF 内部贸易网络的形成,扰乱了中印之间的传统贸易往来。然而,由于国家利益、历史、文化和其他因素的差异,美印之间的经济合作并未充分发挥其潜力。因此,即使在美国加强对华贸易限制迫使印度做出战略决策的情况下,中印经济关系的影响也不会是灾难性的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of the US Indo-Pacific Strategy on China-India Economic Cooperation
India has grown to be a significant component of the US Indo-Pacific strategic layout in South Asia because of its unique geographic location, political and economic power, and other factors. Through collaborative efforts within the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), the US and India have fostered project cooperation by aligning policy dispositions to address shared interests and contain China. Analysis of the economic and trade interactions between China and India suggests a declining trend in their cooperation from many perspective. In a strategic move, India opted out of the China-led Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in 2019 to prioritize economic and trade relations in accordance with its strategic objectives. In addition, India got supports and advancements in high-tech industries through the US Indo-Pacific strategy, consequently reducing collaboration with China in this sector. Furthermore, the US and India have taken measures to diversify supply chains and explore alternative trade routes, steering away from China and promoting regional industrial transfers. This shift has prompted India to intensify its focus on developing high-tech industries to lessen its dependence on China's industrial chain supply. These initiatives have also contributed to the formation of an internal trade network within the IPEF, disrupting traditional trade exchanges between China and India. However, the economic cooperation between the US and India falls short of reaching its full potential because of differences in national interests, history, culture, and other factors. Consequently, the impact of China-India economic relations is not catastrophic, even in the face of heightened US trade restrictions on China that have compelled India to make strategic decisions.
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