埃塞俄比亚牲畜增长趋势:综述

Desalegn Begna, Tadese Kuma, Zemene Yohannes
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摘要

埃塞俄比亚的牲畜数量在非洲排名第一,在全球排名第五。畜牧业对人口生计的贡献率高达 60-70% 左右,约 80% 的农民使用畜力牵引耕种农田。这项研究涉及从中央统计局(CSA)收集 2004/05 年至 2018/19 年的畜牧业数据。此外,还对牲畜饲养者的信息进行了系统整理和分析,以跟踪多年来的进展情况。表明增长情况的可量化数值以表格和数字的形式呈现。使用皮尔逊相关性检验了牛群数量与牲畜所有者增长趋势之间的关系。通过全面的文献综述,进一步支持或质疑了研究结果。数据显示,2018/19 年度牛群数量比 2004/05 年度末增长了 57%,牛主数量增长了约 53%。同样,绵羊总数增长了 82.69%,绵羊持有者增长了 53%,山羊总头数增长了 162.2%,骆驼数量增长了 284%。在牛的总存栏数中,分别有 97.92% 和 99.72% 的绵羊以及所有山羊和骆驼被认定为本地牛。研究发现,用于生产的牲畜数量与持有者数量之间存在明显的强相关性(p 小于 0.01)。这表明,牲畜数量的增长主要是由于牲畜所有者数量的增加,而不是每个所有者牲畜数量的增加。这项工作确定了牲畜发展的瓶颈,并对增长趋势和根本原因提出了见解。它强调了采取政策干预措施以提高可持续畜牧业生产的机会。建议就解决饲料和水短缺问题以及评估政策和机构设置的有效性开展进一步研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Tendency of Livestock Growth in Ethiopia: A Review
Ethiopia ranks first in Africa and 5th in the globe in its livestock population. The livestock subsector is immensely contributing about 60-70 % to the population’s livelihood and about 80% of the farmers use animal traction to plough their croplands. This study involved gathering livestock-based data from the Central Statistical Agency (CSA) for the years 2004/05 to 2018/19. Additionally, information on livestock holders was systematically organized and analyzed to track progress over the years. Quantifiable values indicating increases were presented in tables and figures. The relationship between cattle numbers and livestock owners’ growth trends was tested using the Pearson correlation. The findings were further supported or challenged through a comprehensive literature review. The data show that the cattle population grew by 57% in 2018/19 than the number it was at the end of 2004/05 and the number of cattle owners increased by about 53 %. Likewise, the total number of sheep population grew by 82.69 % and their holders by 53%, the total goat heads grew by 162.2% and the camel population by 284%. From the total stock of cattle, 97.92% and 99.72% of sheep and all the goats and camels were identified as indigenous, respectively. The study found a significant and strong correlation (p less than 0.01) between the number of animals used for production and the number of holders. This suggests that the growth in livestock population is primarily due to an increased number of livestock owners, rather than an increase in the number of animals per holder. The work identifies bottlenecks in livestock development and provides insights into growth trends and underlying causes. It highlights opportunities for policy interventions to enhance sustainable livestock production. Further research is recommended on addressing feed and water shortages and evaluating policy and institutional setup effectiveness.
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