前沿防御--解决俄罗斯入侵北约东部边境的概念、计划和行动

Iulian Chifu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

前沿防御并不是一个新概念。它是冷战时期的传统概念,最初意味着核态势和核战略。在北约发布《马德里战略构想》和《维尔纽斯声明》(即北约的每一寸领土都不会落入对手的控制之下)之后,需要一种新的前沿防御方法来应对安全环境的多重变化:俄罗斯的侵略战争、新一代技术的变革、资源和能力的困境、国际环境的限制和多重挑战,这些危机同时叠加。从未来 2-3-5-8 年北约领土可能遭受攻击的角度来看,需要重新审视这一概念,进而重新审视政治决策、战略规划、这些决策的执行以及实地部队和能力的发展。我们可以将灵活的核能力、大规模报复战略与常规力量、强化威慑、拒止威慑、前沿存在、快速投射能力、解决能力、有效决策和前沿态势结合起来,建立一种新的、更新的前沿防御理论。然而,辩论必须考虑 "新前沿防御 "在理论上的发展、技术上的可行性、政治上的可接受性、财政上的可持续性和战略上的可信性,以确保盟国领土的不可侵犯性。基本的限制是在不重新考虑现有手段的情况下界定和完善前沿防御。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forward defense – concept, plan, and action for solving russian aggression at Nato's easternd border
Forward defense is not a new concept. It is rather traditional, coming from the Cold War and implying, originally, the nuclear posture and strategy. Following the issuance of the Madrid NATO Strategic Concept and Vilnius statement that not an inch of the Alliance’s territory will fall under the control of the opponents, a new approach to forward defense is needed to cope with the multiple shifts in the security environment: Russian war of aggression, the change of technological generation, dilemmas of resources and  apabilities, limits and multiple challenges from the international environment with superposed simultaneous crises. The perspective of possible attacks on NATO territory – in the next 2-3-5-8 years – requires a review of the concept and, consequently, of the political decisions, strategic planning, enforcement of those decisions, and development of forces and capabilities on the ground. Combining nuclear flexible capabilities, a strategy of massive retaliation with conventional forces and deterrence by reinforcement, deterrence by denial, forward presence, rapid projection capabilities, resolution, effective decisionmaking, and forward posture, we could build a new, updated doctrine of forward defense. However, the debate has to consider what is theoretically developed, technically feasible, politically acceptable, financially sustainable, and strategically credible in the „new forward defense” for granting inviolability of allied territory. The basic limitation is to define and refine forward defense without a reconsideration beyond existing means.
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