将煤电厂重新用于热能储存--印度背景下的技术经济评估

Serena Patel, D. Mallapragada, Karthik Ganesan, R. Stoner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球动员起来实现巴黎气候目标,大量淘汰煤炭的倡议也在不断增加。然而,与这一关键过渡相关的搁浅资产风险可能会不成比例地落在印度等煤炭机队较年轻的亚洲经济体身上。在此,我们进行了工厂级技术经济分析,以探讨在印度安装商业化熔盐热能储存(TES)系统对现有煤电厂进行再利用的价值。我们结合工艺模拟和经济优化模型,针对各种技术假设、煤电厂原型和电价情景,对 TES 系统的设计和运营进行评估。经济可行性的主要驱动因素包括:更长的电厂剩余寿命、更高的 TES 峰值温度、更低的 TES 能源容量成本、为终端用途联合生产余热以及电价的时变性不断增加。然后将工厂层面的分析扩展到北方邦的煤电机组中,以筛选 TES 改造的潜力,北方邦是印度人口最多的邦,煤炭产能在印度占很大比例。对单一电价情景的分析表明,如果不考虑固定运营和维护成本(FOM),该邦超过 82% 的煤电机组可以进行改造,并收回 TES 改造的安装成本。这些结果为决策者提供了更多机会,将煤电厂的 TES 改造纳入具有成本效益的电网脱碳战略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Repurposing coal plants into thermal energy storage - a techno-economic assessment in the Indian context
Substantial coal phase out initiatives have been growing as the world mobilizes to meet the Paris climate goals. However, the stranded asset risk associated with this critical transition could fall disproportionately on Asian economies with younger coal fleets, like India. Here, we undertake plant-level techno-economic analysis to explore the value of installing commercially available, molten-salt thermal energy storage (TES) systems for repurposing existing coal power plants in the Indian context. We combine process simulation and an economic optimization model to evaluate design and operations of TES systems for a variety of technology assumptions, coal plant archetypes, and electricity price scenarios. Key drivers of economic viability identified include longer remaining plant lifetime, increasing peak TES temperature, lower TES energy capacity cost, co-production of waste heat for end-uses, and increasing temporal variability of electricity prices. The plant-level analysis was then extended to screen for the potential of TES retrofits within the coal power fleet in Uttar Pradesh, the most populous Indian state with a significant share of India's coal capacity. Analysis for a single electricity price scenario indicates that over 82% of the coal units in the state can be retrofitted and recover the installed costs of TES retrofits, provided that fixed operating and maintenance costs (FOM) are excluded. These results reinforce the opportunity for decision-makers to consider TES retrofits of coal plants into cost-effective grid decarbonization strategies.
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