2012-2022 年期间欧洲联盟的环境负荷趋势

Energies Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI:10.3390/en17143473
László Török
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引用次数: 0

摘要

环境负担是影响欧洲联盟的一个全球性问题。全面分析环境负担对于制定支持可持续经济发展的战略至关重要。本研究试图回答这样一个问题:为什么尽管欧盟的能源消耗持续下降,但该地区的环境负担却没有大幅减轻。本研究通过整合欧盟经济动态和环境效率指标,为这一研究领域提供了新的见解。在本研究中,我们使用了 IPAT 方法。在主要分析之前,研究人员利用原始数据进行了横截面依赖性、斜率异质性和韦斯特伦德协整检验。根据检验结果,对欧盟成员国进行了分组,并进行了线性趋势模型分析。结果显示,2012 年至 2022 年期间,欧盟的总环境负荷并没有显著下降。环境负担保持在同一水平的原因是,有 16 个成员国的环境总负荷增加了,但其经济产出在这一时期却降低了。有 11 个成员国的经济产出较高,但其环境总负荷却有所下降,从而抵消了这一影响。这项研究证明,国内生产总值的增长是将环境总负荷维持在同一水平的主要驱动力。欧盟应鼓励成员国继续执行环境保护规则,以限制和消除对其社会和经济造成的代价高昂的环境负担。这项研究对欧盟环境公共政策的研究人员、政治决策者和专家很有帮助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Trend in Environmental Load in the European Union during the Period of 2012–2022
The environmental burden is a global problem affecting the European Union. A comprehensive analysis of the environmental burden is essential for creating strategies supporting sustainable economic development. This study attempts to answer the question of why, despite the continuously decreasing energy consumption of the EU, the environmental burden of this region is not substantially decreasing. This study provides novel insights into this research area by integrating EU economic dynamics and environmental efficiency indicators. In this study, we used the IPAT method. Before the main analysis, the researcher conducted cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, and Westerlund cointegration tests using the primary data. Based on the results, the EU member states were classified into clusters, and a linear trend model analysis was carried out. The results show that the total environmental load of the EU did not decrease significantly between 2012 and 2022. The fact that the environmental burden remained at the same level is explained by the fact that there were 16 member countries whose total environmental load increased but whose economic output was lower during this time period. This was offset by 11 member countries with high economic outputs, whose total environmental load decreased. This study proved that GDP growth was the main driving force maintaining the total environmental load at the same level. The EU should encourage member states to continue to implement environmental protection rules to limit and eliminate costly environmental burdens on their societies and economies. This study can be helpful to researchers, political decision-makers, and experts working on environmental public policies for the EU.
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