Climate adaptation in P. trichocarpa: key adaptive loci identified for stomata and leaf traits

Identifying the genetic basis of traits underlying climate adaptation remains a key goal for predicting species responses to climate change, enabling the elucidation of gene targets for future climate-resilient crops. Here, we measured 14 leaf and stomatal traits under control (well-watered) and drought conditions, subsampling a diversity collection of over 1,300 Populus trichocarpa genotypes, a potential biofuel feedstock crop. Stomatal traits were correlated with the climate of origin for genotypes, such that those originating from environments subject to water deficit tended to have smaller stomata, but with higher density. Stomatal traits were also correlated with leaf morphology, with larger leaves having larger stomata and lower stomatal density mirrored in correlations to climate of origin. The direction of plastic responses - reduced stomatal size under drought - mirrors the correlations seen among genotypes with respect to the aridity of environmental origin. Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) identified loci underlying trait diversity, including candidates contributing to stomatal size. We used climate of origin to predict stomatal size in genotypes with unknown trait values and found that these predicted phenotypes confirmed empirically measured allele effects. Finally, we found evidence that future climates may select for alleles contributing to decreased stomatal size, with the strength of selection depending on the availability of moisture. These findings reveal adaptive variation in stomatal and physiological traits along with underlying genetic loci, with implications for future selection and breeding - providing insights into the responses to future climate change. Highlight Research on Populus trichocarpa reveals adaptation of physiological and stomatal traits linked to drought tolerance, with genotypes from arid regions exhibiting smaller stomata, offering insights for climate change adaptation and sustainable biofuel production.