觅食蚯蚓能否在大灾难中显著减少全球饥荒?

Biomass Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI:10.3390/biomass4030043
Henry Miller, James Mulhall, Lou Aino Pfau, Rachel Palm, David C. Denkenberger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

蚯蚓是一类生命力顽强的物种,它们以腐烂的有机物为食,在不同的栖息地中茁壮成长,因此预计它们能够在日照突然减少的情况下(如核冬天)存活下来。在这项研究中,我们考虑了在有或没有全球灾难性基础设施损失的情况下,利用蚯蚓来减少全球饥荒的可行性和成本效益。研究分析了以前报道过的蚯蚓提取方法(挖掘和分类、蚯蚓熏蒸、蚯蚓咕噜咕噜叫和电击),以及可扩展性、与气候相关的觅食障碍和消费前处理要求。对全球野生蚯蚓资源的估算表明,它可以满足当前世界人口三年的蛋白质需求,成本中位数为 353 美元-kg-1 干碳水化合物当量,平均成本为 1200 美元(90% 置信区间:32-8500)-kg-1 干碳水化合物当量。按此价格计算,觅食满足一个人每日热量需求的成本中位数为 185 美元,如果以高蚯蚓生物量和低劳动力成本地区为目标,则成本为 32 美元;两者都比大多数现有的弹性食物解决方案更昂贵。虽然短期有针对性的觅食在特定地区仍有好处,因为它能迅速增加产量,但蚯蚓可能会在生物体内积累重金属、放射性物质和其他污染物,对健康构成重大风险。总之,除非进一步研究解决成本效益和食品安全方面的不确定性,否则不能建议将蚯蚓觅食作为一种可扩展的弹性食物解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can Foraging for Earthworms Significantly Reduce Global Famine in a Catastrophe?
Earthworms are a resilient group of species thriving in varied habitats through feeding on decaying organic matter, and are therefore predicted to survive an abrupt sunlight reduction scenario, e.g., a nuclear winter. In this study, the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of foraging earthworms to reduce global famine in such a scenario with or without global catastrophic infrastructure loss was considered. Previously reported earthworm extraction methods (digging and sorting, vermifuge application, worm grunting, and electroshocking) were analysed, along with scalability, climate-related barriers to foraging, and pre-consumption processing requirements. Estimations of the global wild earthworm resource suggest it could provide three years of the protein needs of the current world human population, at a median cost of USD 353·kg−1 dry carbohydrate equivalent or a mean cost of USD 1200 (90% confidence interval: 32–8500)·kg−1 dry carbohydrate equivalent. At this price, foraging would cost a median of USD 185 to meet one person’s daily caloric requirement, or USD 32 if targeted to high-earthworm-biomass and low-labour-cost regions; both are more expensive than most existing resilient food solutions. While short-term targeted foraging could still be beneficial in select areas given its quick ramp-up, earthworms may bioaccumulate heavy metals, radioactive material, and other contaminants, presenting a significant health risk. Overall, earthworm foraging cannot be recommended as a scalable resilient food solution unless further research addresses uncertainties regarding cost-effectiveness and food safety.
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