评估金砖四国伊斯兰股票的复原力:分析全球金融危机期间标准普尔 500 指数期权隐含波动率的一致性和协整性

IF 2.1 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Ariful Hoque, Tanvir Bhuiyan, Thi Le
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究质疑伊斯兰股票对全球金融危机的免疫力,调查了金砖四国的伊斯兰股票与金砖四国标准普尔 500 指数期权隐含波动率(IVS)之间在全球金融危机(GFC)期间是否存在一致性和长期协整关系。本研究采用 Engle-Granger 和 Johansen 协整检验以及小波一致性分析,揭示了 IVS 与伊斯兰股票收益率(ISRs)之间存在显著的长期协整关系以及短期和长期小波一致性。由于标准普尔 500 指数期权 IVS 在传统股票市场中是衡量全球金融危机的可靠指标,因此伊斯兰股票回报率与 IVS 之间的协整性和一致性表明,伊斯兰股票回报率在全球金融危机期间容易受到市场传染。这些研究结果对伊斯兰股票在金融危机期间作为避风港的概念提出了质疑,表明伊斯兰股票与传统股票一样容易受到市场低迷的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the Resilience of Islamic Stocks in BRIC Countries: Analyzing Coherence and Cointegration with S&P 500 Options Implied Volatility Smirk during the Global Financial Crisis
Challenging the perceived immunity of Islamic stocks to the global financial crisis, this research investigates whether there was any coherence and long-run cointegration between Islamic stocks of BRIC countries and S&P 500 options implied volatility smirk (IVS) in BRIC countries during the global financial crisis (GFC). Employing Engle–Granger and Johansen’s cointegration tests along with wavelet coherence analysis, this study reveals significant long-run cointegration and both short-term and long-term wavelet coherence between IVS and Islamic stock returns (ISRs). Since the S&P 500 options IVS is a reliable indicator of GFC in the context of the conventional stock market, the cointegration and coherence between ISRs and IVS indicate the susceptibility of ISRs to market contagion during the GFC. These findings challenge the notion of Islamic stocks as a safe haven during financial crises, showing their susceptibility to market downturns similar to conventional stocks.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
8.70%
发文量
100
审稿时长
11 weeks
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