中尺度特征与热带气旋陶克泰的关联

Nandivada Umakanth, Prathipati Vinay Kumar, Rupraj Biswasharma, Rajesh Gogineni, Shaik Hasane Ahammad, Myla Chimpiri Rao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文试图研究天气研究预报(WRF)模式的各种微物理方案(莫里森方案、汤普森方案、林方案)在分析 2021 年 5 月 14 日至 5 月 19 日阿拉伯海气旋 Tauktae 的对流特征方面的能力。本研究利用 MERRA2 的观测数据探讨了该模式各种方案的性能。在降雨方面,印度气象局(IMD)的日降雨量数据集被视为观测数据。在这项研究中,使用统计指标和技能评分对各种模型参数进行了评估。在三种方案中,莫里森方案的相关性高,BIAS 和均方根误差(RMSE)较小,是最可靠的方案。用于研究气旋活动的对流参数包括降雨量(RF)、云顶温度(CTT)、抬升指数(LI)、总降水量(TPW)、对流可用势能(CAPE)、对流抑制(CIN)、海平面气压(SLP)、海面温度(SST)、地电位高度(GPH)、风暴相对日照度(SRLH)、复合反射率(COMP_ref)和发散。CAPE 是分析气旋能量的有用参数。研究发现,WRF 模式在预报与强对流有关的气旋活动方面非常有用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Association of Mesoscale Features With Tropical Cyclone Tauktae

Association of Mesoscale Features With Tropical Cyclone Tauktae

An attempt has been made in this paper to examine the ability of various microphysical schemes (Morrison, Thompson, Lin) of Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model in analyzing the convective features in a cyclone Tauktae over the Arabian Sea from May 14th to May 19th, 2021. This study explores the model’s performance of various schemes with MERRA2 observations. For rainfall, India Meteorological Department (IMD) daily rainfall dataset has been considered as observation. In this study, the evaluation of various model parameters has been done using statistical metrics and skill scores. Among the three schemes, Morrison scheme stands out to be most reliable scheme with high correlation and less BIAS and Root Mean Square error (RMSE). The convective parameters used for the study of cyclonic activity are rainfall (RF), cloud top temperature (CTT), lifted index (LI), total precipitable water (TPW), convective available potential energy (CAPE), convective inhibition (CIN), sea level pressure (SLP), sea surface temperature (SST), geo potential height (GPH), Storm Relative Helicity (SRLH), composite reflectivity (COMP_ref) and divergence. CAPE has been a useful parameter in analyzing the cyclone’s energy. The WRF model was found to be useful in forecasting severe convection related cyclonic activity.

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