Yasemin Limon , Christopher S. Tang , Fehmi Tanrısever
{"title":"在具有外生和内生产品成功概率的非对称竞争条件下的工艺选择","authors":"Yasemin Limon , Christopher S. Tang , Fehmi Tanrısever","doi":"10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109315","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To develop novel products in a competitive market, firms are under pressure to reduce their time-to-market by adopting a “concurrent process” that involves an upfront investment to speed up the process by conducting the final stage of development and production <em>simultaneously</em>. While the concurrent approach provides a time advantage, it involves a financial risk because, unlike the “sequential process” under which the production process will begin <em>only after</em> the new product passes the requisite tests, the firm cannot recoup the upfront production-related investment should the product fail the qualification or market test. Given this trade-off and the uncertain success of the product, should a firm adopt the concurrent process in a competitive market with asymmetric market shares and impatient consumers? Also, how would a firm’s development strategy change if the probability of product success can be controlled through research investments?</p><p>We provide a 2-stage (or 3-stage) duopoly game for the case when the product success probabilities are <em>exogenously given</em> (or <em>endogenously determined</em>). For both settings, in equilibrium, the concurrent process may be adopted by either one, both, or neither of the firms. Also, even when firms are symmetric, asymmetrical equilibria can emerge that have exactly one firm adopting the concurrent process. When the market-laggard firm has a higher exogenous success probability, a “catch-up” strategy can emerge that has the laggard firm adopt the concurrent process and the market-leading firm adopt the sequential process. This catch-up strategy cannot be sustained as a unique equilibrium when the success probabilities are endogenously determined.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14287,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Production Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Process choice under asymmetric competition with exogenous and endogenous product success probabilities\",\"authors\":\"Yasemin Limon , Christopher S. Tang , Fehmi Tanrısever\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109315\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>To develop novel products in a competitive market, firms are under pressure to reduce their time-to-market by adopting a “concurrent process” that involves an upfront investment to speed up the process by conducting the final stage of development and production <em>simultaneously</em>. While the concurrent approach provides a time advantage, it involves a financial risk because, unlike the “sequential process” under which the production process will begin <em>only after</em> the new product passes the requisite tests, the firm cannot recoup the upfront production-related investment should the product fail the qualification or market test. Given this trade-off and the uncertain success of the product, should a firm adopt the concurrent process in a competitive market with asymmetric market shares and impatient consumers? Also, how would a firm’s development strategy change if the probability of product success can be controlled through research investments?</p><p>We provide a 2-stage (or 3-stage) duopoly game for the case when the product success probabilities are <em>exogenously given</em> (or <em>endogenously determined</em>). For both settings, in equilibrium, the concurrent process may be adopted by either one, both, or neither of the firms. Also, even when firms are symmetric, asymmetrical equilibria can emerge that have exactly one firm adopting the concurrent process. When the market-laggard firm has a higher exogenous success probability, a “catch-up” strategy can emerge that has the laggard firm adopt the concurrent process and the market-leading firm adopt the sequential process. This catch-up strategy cannot be sustained as a unique equilibrium when the success probabilities are endogenously determined.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14287,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Production Economics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-02\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Production Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527324001725\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Production Economics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527324001725","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Process choice under asymmetric competition with exogenous and endogenous product success probabilities
To develop novel products in a competitive market, firms are under pressure to reduce their time-to-market by adopting a “concurrent process” that involves an upfront investment to speed up the process by conducting the final stage of development and production simultaneously. While the concurrent approach provides a time advantage, it involves a financial risk because, unlike the “sequential process” under which the production process will begin only after the new product passes the requisite tests, the firm cannot recoup the upfront production-related investment should the product fail the qualification or market test. Given this trade-off and the uncertain success of the product, should a firm adopt the concurrent process in a competitive market with asymmetric market shares and impatient consumers? Also, how would a firm’s development strategy change if the probability of product success can be controlled through research investments?
We provide a 2-stage (or 3-stage) duopoly game for the case when the product success probabilities are exogenously given (or endogenously determined). For both settings, in equilibrium, the concurrent process may be adopted by either one, both, or neither of the firms. Also, even when firms are symmetric, asymmetrical equilibria can emerge that have exactly one firm adopting the concurrent process. When the market-laggard firm has a higher exogenous success probability, a “catch-up” strategy can emerge that has the laggard firm adopt the concurrent process and the market-leading firm adopt the sequential process. This catch-up strategy cannot be sustained as a unique equilibrium when the success probabilities are endogenously determined.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Production Economics focuses on the interface between engineering and management. It covers all aspects of manufacturing and process industries, as well as production in general. The journal is interdisciplinary, considering activities throughout the product life cycle and material flow cycle. It aims to disseminate knowledge for improving industrial practice and strengthening the theoretical base for decision making. The journal serves as a forum for exchanging ideas and presenting new developments in theory and application, combining academic standards with practical value for industrial applications.