工业政策在数据中的回归

Simon Evenett, Adam Jakubik, Fernando Martín, Michele Ruta
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摘要

本文介绍了新产业政策观察站(NIPO)的数据集,并记录了 2023 年期间与产业政策回归相关的政策干预新模式。数据显示,最近一波新的产业政策活动主要由发达经济体推动,补贴是使用最多的手段。新兴市场和发展中经济体更频繁地使用进出口贸易限制。战略竞争力是政府采取这些措施的主要动机,但气候变化、复原力和国家安全等其他目标也在增加。在探索性回归中,我们发现已实施的措施与其他国家政府过去在同一领域采取的措施相关,这表明产业政策具有针锋相对的性质。此外,国内政治经济因素和宏观经济条件也与产业政策措施的使用相关。我们希望国家工业政策办公室成为一个可公开获取的资源,以帮助监测工业政策的演变和效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The return of industrial policy in data
This paper introduces the New Industrial Policy Observatory (NIPO) data set and documents emergent patterns of policy intervention during 2023 associated with the return of industrial policy. The data show that the recent wave of new industrial policy activity is primarily driven by advanced economies and that subsidies are the most employed instrument. Trade restrictions on imports and exports are more frequently used by emerging market and developing economies. Strategic competitiveness is the dominant motive governments give for these measures, but other objectives such as climate change, resilience and national security are on the rise. In exploratory regressions, we find that implemented measures are correlated with the past use of measures by other governments in the same sector, pointing to the tit‐for‐tat nature of industrial policy. Furthermore, domestic political economy factors and macroeconomic conditions correlate with the use of industrial policy measures. We intend for the NIPO to be a publicly available resource to help monitor the evolution and effects of industrial policies.
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