Mathias Adam, David J. Cooper, Renaud Jaunatre, Jean‐Christophe Clément, Stephanie Gaucherand
{"title":"湿地恢复:短期成功标准能否预测长期结果?","authors":"Mathias Adam, David J. Cooper, Renaud Jaunatre, Jean‐Christophe Clément, Stephanie Gaucherand","doi":"10.1111/rec.14231","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Worldwide wetland loss over the past 50 years has made wetland conservation a public policy priority, leading to an increase in wetland restoration programs. However, predicting long‐term restoration outcomes remains difficult. The monitoring of these programs rarely exceeds 5–10 years, forcing wetland managers to rely on short‐term success criteria that may be criticized by the scientific community. Our objective was to assess the significance of four short‐term success criteria (<jats:italic>Carex</jats:italic> ssp. shoot density, <jats:italic>Salix</jats:italic> ssp. survival, invasive species cover, and hydrologic dissimilarity to reference sites) used in a restoration program of 12 wetlands monitored for 5 years post‐restoration in predicting restoration outcomes 15 years post‐restoration. We defined the success of restoration efforts after 15 years using a cluster analysis‐based approach, and the clusters were described using principal coordinate analysis and Tukey's post hoc honest significant difference test. Finally, we assessed the pertinence of each short‐term success criteria in predicting long‐term restoration outcomes using Pearson correlation tests and spatial regressive models. Our results demonstrate that stress‐based short‐term success criteria can be reliable predictors of longer‐term success for communities with shallow water tables, whereas target‐species‐based short‐term success criteria are not. Hydrologic dissimilarity to the reference site was appropriate for willow‐sedge community outcome predictions, while invasive species cover was best for sedge community outcome predictions. For communities in drier habitats, such as the willow‐herb community, none of the tested short‐term success criteria were significant predictors of long‐term restoration outcomes, and further research is required to identify suitable short‐term success criteria.","PeriodicalId":54487,"journal":{"name":"Restoration Ecology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Wetland restoration: can short‐term success criteria predict long‐term outcomes?\",\"authors\":\"Mathias Adam, David J. Cooper, Renaud Jaunatre, Jean‐Christophe Clément, Stephanie Gaucherand\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/rec.14231\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Worldwide wetland loss over the past 50 years has made wetland conservation a public policy priority, leading to an increase in wetland restoration programs. However, predicting long‐term restoration outcomes remains difficult. The monitoring of these programs rarely exceeds 5–10 years, forcing wetland managers to rely on short‐term success criteria that may be criticized by the scientific community. Our objective was to assess the significance of four short‐term success criteria (<jats:italic>Carex</jats:italic> ssp. shoot density, <jats:italic>Salix</jats:italic> ssp. survival, invasive species cover, and hydrologic dissimilarity to reference sites) used in a restoration program of 12 wetlands monitored for 5 years post‐restoration in predicting restoration outcomes 15 years post‐restoration. We defined the success of restoration efforts after 15 years using a cluster analysis‐based approach, and the clusters were described using principal coordinate analysis and Tukey's post hoc honest significant difference test. Finally, we assessed the pertinence of each short‐term success criteria in predicting long‐term restoration outcomes using Pearson correlation tests and spatial regressive models. Our results demonstrate that stress‐based short‐term success criteria can be reliable predictors of longer‐term success for communities with shallow water tables, whereas target‐species‐based short‐term success criteria are not. Hydrologic dissimilarity to the reference site was appropriate for willow‐sedge community outcome predictions, while invasive species cover was best for sedge community outcome predictions. For communities in drier habitats, such as the willow‐herb community, none of the tested short‐term success criteria were significant predictors of long‐term restoration outcomes, and further research is required to identify suitable short‐term success criteria.\",\"PeriodicalId\":54487,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Restoration Ecology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Restoration Ecology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/rec.14231\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Restoration Ecology","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/rec.14231","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Wetland restoration: can short‐term success criteria predict long‐term outcomes?
Worldwide wetland loss over the past 50 years has made wetland conservation a public policy priority, leading to an increase in wetland restoration programs. However, predicting long‐term restoration outcomes remains difficult. The monitoring of these programs rarely exceeds 5–10 years, forcing wetland managers to rely on short‐term success criteria that may be criticized by the scientific community. Our objective was to assess the significance of four short‐term success criteria (Carex ssp. shoot density, Salix ssp. survival, invasive species cover, and hydrologic dissimilarity to reference sites) used in a restoration program of 12 wetlands monitored for 5 years post‐restoration in predicting restoration outcomes 15 years post‐restoration. We defined the success of restoration efforts after 15 years using a cluster analysis‐based approach, and the clusters were described using principal coordinate analysis and Tukey's post hoc honest significant difference test. Finally, we assessed the pertinence of each short‐term success criteria in predicting long‐term restoration outcomes using Pearson correlation tests and spatial regressive models. Our results demonstrate that stress‐based short‐term success criteria can be reliable predictors of longer‐term success for communities with shallow water tables, whereas target‐species‐based short‐term success criteria are not. Hydrologic dissimilarity to the reference site was appropriate for willow‐sedge community outcome predictions, while invasive species cover was best for sedge community outcome predictions. For communities in drier habitats, such as the willow‐herb community, none of the tested short‐term success criteria were significant predictors of long‐term restoration outcomes, and further research is required to identify suitable short‐term success criteria.
期刊介绍:
Restoration Ecology fosters the exchange of ideas among the many disciplines involved with ecological restoration. Addressing global concerns and communicating them to the international research community and restoration practitioners, the journal is at the forefront of a vital new direction in science, ecology, and policy. Original papers describe experimental, observational, and theoretical studies on terrestrial, marine, and freshwater systems, and are considered without taxonomic bias. Contributions span the natural sciences, including ecological and biological aspects, as well as the restoration of soil, air and water when set in an ecological context; and the social sciences, including cultural, philosophical, political, educational, economic and historical aspects. Edited by a distinguished panel, the journal continues to be a major conduit for researchers to publish their findings in the fight to not only halt ecological damage, but also to ultimately reverse it.