{"title":"流动性跃迁、流动性扩散和具有极端流动性的资产组合","authors":"Qi Deng, Zhong-guo Zhou","doi":"arxiv-2407.00813","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We model a portfolio of crypto assets that does not respond well to\nmultivariate autoregressive models because of discontinuity in conditional\ncovariance matrix and posterior covariance matrix caused by extreme liquidity.\nWe adjust asset-level return and volatility with liquidity to reduce such\ndiscontinuity, and restore the effectiveness of a set of liquidity-adjusted\nVECM-DCC/ADCC-BL models at extreme liquidity. We establish two distinctive yet\ncomplementary portfolio liquidity measures: portfolio liquidity jump that\nquantifies the effect of liquidity adjustment in forecasting the conditional\ncovariance matrix, and portfolio liquidity diffusion that quantifies the effect\nof liquidity adjustment in estimating the posterior covariance matrix.","PeriodicalId":501139,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Liquidity Jump, Liquidity Diffusion, and Portfolio of Assets with Extreme Liquidity\",\"authors\":\"Qi Deng, Zhong-guo Zhou\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2407.00813\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We model a portfolio of crypto assets that does not respond well to\\nmultivariate autoregressive models because of discontinuity in conditional\\ncovariance matrix and posterior covariance matrix caused by extreme liquidity.\\nWe adjust asset-level return and volatility with liquidity to reduce such\\ndiscontinuity, and restore the effectiveness of a set of liquidity-adjusted\\nVECM-DCC/ADCC-BL models at extreme liquidity. We establish two distinctive yet\\ncomplementary portfolio liquidity measures: portfolio liquidity jump that\\nquantifies the effect of liquidity adjustment in forecasting the conditional\\ncovariance matrix, and portfolio liquidity diffusion that quantifies the effect\\nof liquidity adjustment in estimating the posterior covariance matrix.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501139,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"volume\":\"11 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.00813\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Statistical Finance","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.00813","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Liquidity Jump, Liquidity Diffusion, and Portfolio of Assets with Extreme Liquidity
We model a portfolio of crypto assets that does not respond well to
multivariate autoregressive models because of discontinuity in conditional
covariance matrix and posterior covariance matrix caused by extreme liquidity.
We adjust asset-level return and volatility with liquidity to reduce such
discontinuity, and restore the effectiveness of a set of liquidity-adjusted
VECM-DCC/ADCC-BL models at extreme liquidity. We establish two distinctive yet
complementary portfolio liquidity measures: portfolio liquidity jump that
quantifies the effect of liquidity adjustment in forecasting the conditional
covariance matrix, and portfolio liquidity diffusion that quantifies the effect
of liquidity adjustment in estimating the posterior covariance matrix.