带有媒体宣传和治疗干预措施的疟疾传播数学模型

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
Andualem Tekle Haringo, Legesse Lemecha Obsu, Feyissa Kebede Bushu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

疟疾是一种通过感染疟原虫的雌性按蚊叮咬传播的致命原生动物疾病,仍然是全球关注的重大健康问题。本研究引入了一个分区数学模型,以探讨基于宣传举措的杀虫剂使用和疟疾治疗的影响。该模型纳入了媒体宣传对使用杀虫剂控制疟疾效果的影响。我们系统地研究了关键的数学特性,如正解、解的有界性、可行性和平衡的稳定性。我们的分析表明,在一组特定的初始条件下,该系统的所有解都是正解和有界解,从而确立了该模型的数学合理性和流行病学相关性。通过下一代矩阵法确定了基本繁殖数 \(R_0\)。稳定性分析表明,当 \(R_0\) 小于 1 时,无病平衡是全局渐近稳定的;而当 \(R_0\) 大于 1 时,无病平衡变得不稳定。在 \(R_0\) 大于 1 的情况下,使用适当的二次李亚普诺夫函数可以确定地方病平衡的全局稳定性。我们通过归一化前向敏感性指数确定了模型中最敏感的参数。此外,使用 Python 软件中的 Runge-Kutta 方法进行的数值模拟进一步验证了我们的发现。分析和数值结果共同表明,将基于意识的杀虫剂使用与疟疾治疗相结合,具有消除疟疾的潜力。这种综合方法不仅有助于提高模型的数学严谨性,还强调了其对有效控制疟疾战略的实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A mathematical model of malaria transmission with media-awareness and treatment interventions

A mathematical model of malaria transmission with media-awareness and treatment interventions

Malaria, a lethal protozoan disease transmitted through the bites of female Anopheles mosquitoes infected with Plasmodium parasites, remains a significant global health concern. This study introduces a compartmental mathematical model to explore the impact of insecticide use and malaria treatment based on awareness initiatives. The model incorporates the influence of media-based awareness on the effectiveness of insecticide utilization for malaria control. Key mathematical properties, such as positivity, boundedness of solutions, feasibility, and stability of equilibria, are systematically investigated. Our analysis demonstrates that all solutions to the system are positive and bounded within a specified set of initial conditions, establishing the mathematical soundness and epidemiological relevance of the model. The basic reproduction number \(R_0\) is determined through the next-generation matrix method. Stability analysis reveals that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when \(R_0\) is less than one, while it becomes unstable if \(R_0\) exceeds one. Global stability of the endemic equilibrium is established using an appropriate quadratic Lyapunov function in cases where \(R_0\) surpasses one. We identify the most sensitive parameters of the model through normalized forward sensitivity indices. In addition, numerical simulations employing the Runge–Kutta method in Python software further validate our findings. Both analytical and numerical results collectively suggest that the integration of awareness-based insecticide usage with malaria treatment holds the potential for malaria elimination. This comprehensive approach not only contributes to the mathematical rigor of the model but also underscores its practical implications for effective malaria control strategies.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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