利用深度学习神经网络的综合多变量风速预测模型

IF 2.9 4区 综合性期刊 Q1 Multidisciplinary
Donglai Wei, Zhongda Tian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确预测风速对高效风力发电至关重要。为了提高风速预测的精度,本文提出了一种基于深度学习神经网络的多元组合模型,该模型不仅包含历史风速数据,还包含相关气象特征。首先,利用自编码器和奇异值分解对与风速相关的气象特征进行特征提取。随后,利用互补集合经验模式分解和小波变换方法来减少风速序列中的噪声。最后,本文利用门控递归单元(GRU)深度学习神经网络来预测风速序列。通过实施改进的灰狼算法,对 GRU 的四个超参数进行了优化。本文使用两个数据集对该模型的预测性能进行了评估和验证。实验结果表明,拟议模型在两个数据集上的 1 步预测的平均绝对百分比误差分别为 0.7532% 和 0.5263%,相应的均方根误差值分别为 0.0283 和 0.0227。这些结果表明,与其他比较模型相比,该模型的性能有了显著提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

A Comprehensive Multivariate Wind Speed Forecasting Model Utilizing Deep Learning Neural Networks

A Comprehensive Multivariate Wind Speed Forecasting Model Utilizing Deep Learning Neural Networks

Predicting wind speed accurately is essential for the efficient generation of wind power. To enhance the precision of wind speed forecasting, this paper proposes a multivariate combinatorial model based on a deep learning neural network, which incorporates not only historical wind speed data but also relevant meteorological features. Initially, the feature extraction of meteorological features related to wind speed is first performed using an autoencoder and singular value decomposition. Subsequently, the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition and wavelet transform method is utilized to mitigate noise in the wind speed series. Finally, this paper utilizes a gated recurrent unit (GRU) deep learning neural network for predicting the wind speed series. The optimization of the GRU’s four hyperparameters is accomplished through the implementation of the improved gray wolf algorithm. This paper evaluates and validates the predictive performance of the model using two datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that the mean absolute percentage error of the proposed model’s 1-step predictions on the two datasets is 0.7532% and 0.5263%, with corresponding root mean square error values of 0.0283 and 0.0227, respectively. These results indicate a significant improvement over those achieved by other models under comparison.

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来源期刊
Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering
Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering 综合性期刊-综合性期刊
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
3.40%
发文量
0
审稿时长
4.3 months
期刊介绍: King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM) partnered with Springer to publish the Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering (AJSE). AJSE, which has been published by KFUPM since 1975, is a recognized national, regional and international journal that provides a great opportunity for the dissemination of research advances from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, MENA and the world.
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