野火与风力发电厂:一个不为人知的故事

IF 0.7 4区 农林科学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Mihai Mutascu, Cristina Strango, Alexandre Sokic
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了在 10 个受野火影响最严重的国家,野火-毁林对风力涡轮机厂扩张的影响。实证部分基于 2010 年至 2022 年的面板自回归分布滞后(ARDL)估计。有趣的是,主要研究结果表明,野火-森林砍伐与风力发电厂的扩张之间存在长期关系,且呈正相关。更确切地说,风力涡轮机发电厂已开始在被野火烧毁的土地上大量发展。在这种情况下,值得注意的是,由于野火-森林砍伐而导致的长期均衡值 1%的偏离将需要数年的时间才能恢复到均衡状态。此外,可再生能源、城市化和人类发展的不断发展也支持了这种联系。在传统污染能源和可再生能源之间也观察到了转换效应。研究结果提出了几项关键的政策措施:在风力涡轮机建设前进行环境影响评估;实施分区法规以限制敏感区域的涡轮机数量;鼓励在涡轮机所在地周围植树造林;为采用可持续做法的开发商提供补贴;支持创新的风力涡轮机技术以提高效率并减少对环境的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wildfires and Wind Turbine Plants: A Story Never Told

The paper analyses the influence of wildfire-deforestation on the expansion of wind turbine plants in 10 countries most affected by wildfires. The empirical part is based on panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimations, from 2010 to 2022. The main finding interestingly evidences a long-run relationship between wildfire-deforestation and the expansion of wind plants, with a positive sign. More precisely, wind turbine plants have begun to be significantly developed on wildfire-deforested lands. In this case, noteworthy is that a deviation of 1% from the long-run equilibrium due to wildfire-deforestation would necessitate several years for the system to return to its equilibrium state. Additionally, the link is supported by the continuous development of renewable energy sources, urbanisation and human development. A switching effect is also observed between conventional pollutant energy sources and renewable ones. The results suggest several key policy measures: performing environmental impact assessments before wind turbine construction, implementing zoning regulations to limit turbine numbers in sensitive areas, encouraging reforestation efforts around turbine sites, providing subsidies for developers using sustainable practices, and supporting innovative wind turbine technologies to enhance efficiency and reduce environmental impact.

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来源期刊
Journal of Forest Economics
Journal of Forest Economics 农林科学-林学
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
16
审稿时长
>36 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal covers all aspects of forest economics, and publishes scientific papers in subject areas such as the following: forest management problems: economics of silviculture, forest regulation and operational activities, managerial economics; forest industry analysis: economics of processing, industrial organization problems, demand and supply analysis, technological change, international trade of forest products; multiple use of forests: valuation of non-market priced goods and services, cost-benefit analysis of environment and timber production, external effects of forestry and forest industry; forest policy analysis: market and intervention failures, regulation of forest management, ownership, taxation; land use and economic development: deforestation and land use problem, national resource accounting, contribution to national and regional income and employment. forestry and climate change: using forestry to mitigate climate change, economic analysis of bioenergy, adaption of forestry to climate change.
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