Francesco Busato, Bruno Chiarini, Gianluigi Cisco, Maria Ferrara
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文深入探讨了环境政策的评估问题,重点关注绿色消费的作用,而这在以往的文献中被忽视了。本文分析了由环保意识驱动的绿色消费如何影响商业周期和环境政策的传导机制。我们扩充了标准的动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,加入了内生的绿色消费选择、时变的环境问题和环境问题冲击,以评估这些传导机制。该模型采用贝叶斯估计法对美国经济进行估计,并根据气候变化新闻指数衡量公众的环境关注度。我们的研究结果表明:(i) 环境问题冲击在影响可再生能源和化石能源消费的变异方面发挥了关键作用,从而促进了排放与 GDP 的脱钩;(ii) 在总量控制与交易政策下,环境问题导致污染企业减少对减排的投资;(iii) 环境意识驱动的绿色消费抑制了宏观经济波动,扩大了不利的外生冲击对消费的负面影响;(iv) 在向气候中性过渡的过程中,可持续商品减轻了对消费的不利影响。
This paper delves into the evaluation of environmental policy, focusing on the role of green consumption, previously neglected in the literature. This article analyzes how green consumption, driven by environmental awareness, affects business cycles and the transmission mechanism of environmental policies. We augment the standard Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to evaluate these transmission mechanisms by including endogenous green consumption choices, time-varying environmental concerns, and an environmental concern shock. The model is estimated using Bayesian estimation for the US economy, measuring public environmental concerns based on a Climate Change News Index. Our findings indicate that (i) an environmental concern shock plays a crucial role in influencing the variances of both renewable and fossil energy consumption, thereby contributing to the decoupling of emissions and GDP; (ii) environmental concerns lead to reduced investments in emissions abatement by dirty firms under a cap-and-trade policy; (iii) green consumption driven by environmental awareness dampen macroeconomic fluctuations amplifying the negative impact on consumption after adverse exogenous shocks; (iv) over the transition to climate neutrality, sustainable goods mitigate adverse impacts on consumption.
期刊介绍:
Italian Economic Journal (ItEJ) is the official peer-reviewed journal of the Italian Economic Association. ItEJ publishes scientific articles in all areas of economics and economic policy, providing a scholarly, international forum for all methodological approaches and schools of thought. In particular, ItEJ aims at encouraging and disseminating high-quality research on the Italian and the European economy. To fulfill this aim, the journal welcomes applied, institutional and theoretical papers on relevant and timely issues concerning the European and Italian economic debate.ItEJ merges the Rivista Italiana degli Economisti (RIE), the journal founded by the Italian Economic Association in 1996, with the Giornale degli Economisti (GdE), founded in 1875 and enriched by contributions from renowned economists, including Amoroso, Black, Barone, De Viti de Marco, Edgeworth, Einaudi, Modigliani, Pantaleoni, Pareto, Slutsky, Tinbergen and Walras.