利用球探报告改进国家冰球联盟选秀结果预测

IF 1.1 Q3 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
Hubert Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们利用大型语言模型(LLMs)从球探报告文本中提取信息,并改进对美国国家冰球联盟(NHL)选秀结果的预测。与此同时,我们根据球员在选秀前的场上表现得出统计特征。然后使用集合机器学习模型将这两个数据集结合起来。我们发现,冰上统计数据和球探报告都具有预测价值,但将它们结合起来会产生最强的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improving NHL draft outcome predictions using scouting reports
We leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) to extract information from scouting report texts and improve predictions of National Hockey League (NHL) draft outcomes. In parallel, we derive statistical features based on a player’s on-ice performance leading up to the draft. These two datasets are then combined using ensemble machine learning models. We find that both on-ice statistics and scouting reports have predictive value, however combining them leads to the strongest results.
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来源期刊
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: The Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports (JQAS), an official journal of the American Statistical Association, publishes timely, high-quality peer-reviewed research on the quantitative aspects of professional and amateur sports, including collegiate and Olympic competition. The scope of application reflects the increasing demand for novel methods to analyze and understand data in the growing field of sports analytics. Articles come from a wide variety of sports and diverse perspectives, and address topics such as game outcome models, measurement and evaluation of player performance, tournament structure, analysis of rules and adjudication, within-game strategy, analysis of sporting technologies, and player and team ranking methods. JQAS seeks to publish manuscripts that demonstrate original ways of approaching problems, develop cutting edge methods, and apply innovative thinking to solve difficult challenges in sports contexts. JQAS brings together researchers from various disciplines, including statistics, operations research, machine learning, scientific computing, econometrics, and sports management.
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