Inferior vena cava ultrasound to predict hypotension after general anesthesia induction: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies.

Purpose: Hypotension after induction of general anesthesia is common and is associated with significant adverse events. Identification of patients at high risk can inform the use of preoperative mitigation strategies. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the inferior vena cava collapsibility index (IVC-CI) and maximal diameter (dIVC_max) in predicting postinduction hypotension and to identify their predictive performance across different threshold ranges.

Methods: We searched MEDLINE, PubMed®, and Embase from inception to March 2023 for prospective observational studies exploring the performance of IVC-CI and dIVC_max in predicting postinduction hypotension in adults presenting for elective surgery under general anesthesia. We excluded studies reporting on IVC parameters predicting postinduction hypotension in the obstetric patient population or exclusively in patients with obesity. Trials screening and data extraction were conducted independently. We performed meta-analyses to identify the performance of IVC parameters in predicting postinduction hypotension, followed by subgroup analyses that sought the IVC-CI range with the highest hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristic area under the curve (HSROC-AUC). We used a bivariate random effects model to calculate summary estimates. We evaluated study quality using Newcastle-Ottawa scores and certainty of evidence using the GRADE framework.

Results: We included 14 studies involving 1,166 patients. Pooled sensitivity and specificity of the IVC-CI to predict postinduction hypotension was 0.68 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55 to 0.79; coverage probability, 0.91) and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.85; coverage probability, 0.9), respectively, with an HSROC-AUC of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.85, high quality of evidence). An IVC-CI threshold range of 40-45% had an HSROC-AUC of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.69 to 0.93, high quality of evidence).

Conclusions: Preoperative IVC-CI is a strong predictor of postinduction hypotension. We recommend that future studies use an IVC-CI threshold of 40-45% (low certainty of evidence). Future studies are needed to establish whether ultrasound-guided preoperative optimization improves outcomes in high-risk patients.

Study registration: PROSPERO ( CRD42022316140 ); first submitted 10 March 2022.