用于调查电动汽车用户充电行为的潜在细分框架

IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Andrea Pellegrini , Marco Diana , John Matthew Rose
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球许多国家都将交通电气化视为减少二氧化碳排放的关键战略之一,然而,可靠的公共充电基础设施系统的可用性却成为此类努力的潜在严重瓶颈。现有的电池电动汽车(BEV)充电行为研究通常基于非代表性样本或陈述选择实验。本文分析了具有代表性的德国 BEV 车主的观察数据,这些车主提供了八周内的里程和充电活动信息。通过将基于危险生存模型的对数线性回归方法与基于危险生存模型的对数线性回归方法相结合的多方面实证框架,对 BEV 充电模式、相关车辆行驶公里数(VKT)和电池充电行为进行了评估。此外,还采用了潜类法将电动汽车车主划分为不同的充电群体。该模型表明存在两种类型的充电行为,即定期充电和不定期充电。研究发现,这两类人的充电频率和模式截然不同,据估计,定期充电者的充电次数是不定时充电者的 1.5 倍。最后,我们利用所提出的框架来探讨充电行为将如何因技术进步(BEV 驾驶里程的提高)和以用户为中心的因素(VKT 变化)而发生变化。据预测,无论是技术因素还是用户因素,都不会对不规则充电器的两次充电间隔时间产生实质性影响,而增加电动汽车行驶里程和降低 VKT 都会延长常规充电器两次连续充电之间的间隔时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A latent-based segmentation framework for the investigation of charging behaviour of electric vehicle users

Electrification of transport is deemed by many countries worldwide as one of the key strategies to mitigate CO2 emissions, yet the availability of reliable public charging infrastructure systems represents a potential serious bottleneck to such endeavours. Existing studies exploring battery electric vehicle (BEV) charging behaviour are typically based on either non-representative samples or stated choices experiments. This paper analyses observational data from a representative sample of German BEV owners who provided information on mileage and charging activities over a timeframe of eight weeks. BEV charging patterns, related vehicles kilometres travelled (VKT) and battery charging behaviour are assessed via a multifaceted empirical framework that pairs a hazard survival-based model with a log linear regression approach. A latent class method is also employed to segment BEV owners into different charging segments. The model suggests two types of charging behaviour exist, consisting of regular and irregular chargers. Charging frequencies and patterns are found to be radically different between the two groups under study, with regular chargers estimated to charge their vehicles 1.5 times more than irregular chargers. Lastly, the framework proposed is used to explore how charging behaviour will mutate due to both technology advancements (BEV driving range improvements) and user-centric factors (VKT variations). Neither technological or user factors are predicted to substantially affect the inter-charging duration of irregular chargers, whereas both increasing BEV driving ranges and reducing VKT results in a longer elapsed time between two consecutive charges for regular chargers.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
12.00%
发文量
332
审稿时长
64 days
期刊介绍: Transportation Research: Part C (TR_C) is dedicated to showcasing high-quality, scholarly research that delves into the development, applications, and implications of transportation systems and emerging technologies. Our focus lies not solely on individual technologies, but rather on their broader implications for the planning, design, operation, control, maintenance, and rehabilitation of transportation systems, services, and components. In essence, the intellectual core of the journal revolves around the transportation aspect rather than the technology itself. We actively encourage the integration of quantitative methods from diverse fields such as operations research, control systems, complex networks, computer science, and artificial intelligence. Join us in exploring the intersection of transportation systems and emerging technologies to drive innovation and progress in the field.
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