Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy.

Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy is the standard treatment for resectable advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) in Japan. Triplet chemotherapy is the standard neoadjuvant regimen. Inflammatory markers such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are well-known prognostic factors for esophageal cancer. However, their usefulness in patients with resectable advanced disease undergoing esophagectomy after neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy is unknown.

Method: We examined 144 ESCC patients who underwent neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy between January 2015 and December 2020 to investigate the relationship between inflammatory markers and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Optimal marker cutoff values for RFS were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Patients were divided into high and low NLR groups (NLR cutoff, 3.0).

Results: NLR was high in 61 patients and low in 83. Univariate analyses demonstrated that low NLR was significantly associated with worse RFS (p = 0.049). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that high NLR was an independent predictor of RFS (odds ratio, 1.911; 95% confidence interval, 1.098-3.327; p = 0.022). RFS significantly differed between the low and high NLR groups. RFS did not significantly differ between the patients when stratified according to the other inflammatory markers.

Conclusion: Preoperative NLR is an easily obtained and useful predictor of RFS in patients with resectable advanced ESCC treated with neoadjuvant triplet chemotherapy followed by esophagectomy.