[Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of intestinal resection in incarcerated inguinal hernias].

Introduction: Inguinal hernia is defined as a projection of an organ through the inguinal canal. This can be incarcerated as a consequence of continuous inflammation of the hernial sac, which will prevent its return, causing damage to the venous and lymphatic return of the viscera. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an easily accessible inflammatory biomarker obtained from blood cell counts. Therefore, the objective was to determine if the NLR is useful as a predictor of intestinal resection in incarcerated inguinal hernias.

Material and method: An observational, analytical, diagnostic test and retrospective study was carried out in a hospital in northern Peru from January 2013 to August 2019 in the Department of General Surgery and Emergency Surgery and Critical Care. Patients diagnosed with unilateral inguinal hernia with intestinal obstruction were included. For the relationship between the event and the exposure, it was analyzed using Chi square (χ²) and T-Student. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value of the NLR as well as the area under the ROC curve were found to determine the predictive accuracy.

Results: 161 patients with incarcerated inguinal hernia were studied: group I (20 patients with intestinal resection) and group II (141 patients without intestinal resection). The mean age in groups I and II were 69±16 and 60±17 years (p<0.05); the frequency in males was 70% in group I and 76% in group II (p>0.05). Intestinal obstruction and duration of incarceration >24 hours and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio demonstrated significant differences. With respect to NLR taking a cut-off point ≥6.5, a sensitivity of 75%, a specificity of 93.62%, a positive predictive value of 62.5% and a negative predictive value of 96.35% were observed; In addition, when analyzing with the ROC curve, a value of 5.14 was obtained as a predictor of intestinal resection with a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 84.4% (p<0.001). Therefore, the NLR >5.14 predicts intestinal resection in patients with incarcerated inguinal hernias with an area under the curve of 0.92 at the Belen Hospital of Trujillo.

Conclusions: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is useful for predicting intestinal resection with a diagnostic accuracy of 92%.