{"title":"长跨度高频数据回归的一些固定值结果","authors":"Taeyoon Hwang , Timothy J. Vogelsang","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105773","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper develops fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span><span> asymptotic results for heteroskedasticity autocorrelation robust (HAR) Wald tests for high frequency data using the continuous time framework of Chang et al. (2023) (CLP). It is shown that the fixed-</span><span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limit of HAR Wald tests for high frequency stationary regressions is the same as the standard fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limit in Kiefer and Vogelsang (2005). For the case of cointegrating regression the form of the fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limits are different from the stationary case and may or may not be pivotal but also have the same fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limits that have been obtained for tests based on ordinary least squares (OLS) (Bunzel, 2006) and integrated modified OLS (Vogelsang and Wagner, 2014). A simulation study shows that fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values provide rejection probabilities closer to nominal levels than traditional chi-square critical values when using data-dependent bandwidths. The Andrews (1991) data-dependent method works reasonably well for a wider range of persistence parameters than those considered by CLP. In contrast, the Newey and West (1994) data-dependent method is sensitive to the choice of pre-tuning parameters. The data-dependent method of Sun et al. (2008) give results similar to the Andrews (1991) method with slightly less over-rejection problems when used with fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values. Our results for bandwidth choice reinforce the importance of high frequency compatibility of bandwidths as emphasized by CLP. Regardless of the bandwidth method used in practice, it is clear that fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values can and should be used for high frequency data whenever HAR tests are based on kernel estimators of long run variances. Our results complement the analysis of Pellatt and Sun (2023) who focused on HAR tests based on orthonormal series estimators of long run variance estimator.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":15629,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Econometrics","volume":"244 2","pages":"Article 105773"},"PeriodicalIF":9.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Some fixed-b results for regressions with high frequency data over long spans\",\"authors\":\"Taeyoon Hwang , Timothy J. Vogelsang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105773\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper develops fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span><span> asymptotic results for heteroskedasticity autocorrelation robust (HAR) Wald tests for high frequency data using the continuous time framework of Chang et al. (2023) (CLP). It is shown that the fixed-</span><span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limit of HAR Wald tests for high frequency stationary regressions is the same as the standard fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limit in Kiefer and Vogelsang (2005). For the case of cointegrating regression the form of the fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limits are different from the stationary case and may or may not be pivotal but also have the same fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> limits that have been obtained for tests based on ordinary least squares (OLS) (Bunzel, 2006) and integrated modified OLS (Vogelsang and Wagner, 2014). A simulation study shows that fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values provide rejection probabilities closer to nominal levels than traditional chi-square critical values when using data-dependent bandwidths. The Andrews (1991) data-dependent method works reasonably well for a wider range of persistence parameters than those considered by CLP. In contrast, the Newey and West (1994) data-dependent method is sensitive to the choice of pre-tuning parameters. The data-dependent method of Sun et al. (2008) give results similar to the Andrews (1991) method with slightly less over-rejection problems when used with fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values. Our results for bandwidth choice reinforce the importance of high frequency compatibility of bandwidths as emphasized by CLP. Regardless of the bandwidth method used in practice, it is clear that fixed-<span><math><mi>b</mi></math></span> critical values can and should be used for high frequency data whenever HAR tests are based on kernel estimators of long run variances. Our results complement the analysis of Pellatt and Sun (2023) who focused on HAR tests based on orthonormal series estimators of long run variance estimator.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15629,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Econometrics\",\"volume\":\"244 2\",\"pages\":\"Article 105773\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Econometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407624001192\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407624001192","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本文利用 Chang 等人 (2023) 的连续时间框架 (CLP),为高频数据的异方差自相关稳健 (HAR) Wald 检验提出了固定-b 渐近结果。结果表明,高频率静态回归的 HAR Wald 检验的固定-b 极限与 Kiefer 和 Vogelsang (2005) 的标准固定-b 极限相同。对于协整回归的情况,定b极限的形式与静态情况不同,可能是也可能不是关键的,但也具有与基于普通最小二乘法(OLS)(Bunzel,2006 年)和综合修正 OLS(Vogelsang 和 Wagner,2014 年)的检验相同的定b极限。一项模拟研究表明,在使用依赖数据的带宽时,与传统的卡方临界值相比,固定卡方临界值提供的拒绝概率更接近名义水平。安德鲁斯(1991 年)的数据依赖性方法对持久性参数的适用范围比 CLP 考虑的范围更广,效果也相当不错。相比之下,Newey 和 West(1994 年)的数据依赖方法对预调参数的选择很敏感。Sun 等人(2008 年)的数据依赖方法得出的结果与 Andrews(1991 年)的方法相似,但在使用固定 b 临界值时,过拒绝问题略少。我们在带宽选择方面的结果强化了 CLP 所强调的带宽高频兼容的重要性。无论在实践中使用哪种带宽方法,只要 HAR 检验是基于长期方差的核估计值,那么固定 b 临界值显然可以而且应该用于高频数据。我们的结果是对 Pellatt 和 Sun(2023 年)分析的补充,他们的重点是基于正交序列长期方差估计器的 HAR 检验。
Some fixed-b results for regressions with high frequency data over long spans
This paper develops fixed- asymptotic results for heteroskedasticity autocorrelation robust (HAR) Wald tests for high frequency data using the continuous time framework of Chang et al. (2023) (CLP). It is shown that the fixed- limit of HAR Wald tests for high frequency stationary regressions is the same as the standard fixed- limit in Kiefer and Vogelsang (2005). For the case of cointegrating regression the form of the fixed- limits are different from the stationary case and may or may not be pivotal but also have the same fixed- limits that have been obtained for tests based on ordinary least squares (OLS) (Bunzel, 2006) and integrated modified OLS (Vogelsang and Wagner, 2014). A simulation study shows that fixed- critical values provide rejection probabilities closer to nominal levels than traditional chi-square critical values when using data-dependent bandwidths. The Andrews (1991) data-dependent method works reasonably well for a wider range of persistence parameters than those considered by CLP. In contrast, the Newey and West (1994) data-dependent method is sensitive to the choice of pre-tuning parameters. The data-dependent method of Sun et al. (2008) give results similar to the Andrews (1991) method with slightly less over-rejection problems when used with fixed- critical values. Our results for bandwidth choice reinforce the importance of high frequency compatibility of bandwidths as emphasized by CLP. Regardless of the bandwidth method used in practice, it is clear that fixed- critical values can and should be used for high frequency data whenever HAR tests are based on kernel estimators of long run variances. Our results complement the analysis of Pellatt and Sun (2023) who focused on HAR tests based on orthonormal series estimators of long run variance estimator.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.