基于多机学习提高需求预测准确性的实证研究

Myunghwa Kim, Yeonjun Lee, Sangwoo Park, Kunwoo Kim, Taehee Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着军队装备的日益先进和昂贵,保障备件的成本也随着装备资产的增加而不断提高。其中,备件需求预测是军队重要的管理任务之一,其准确性直接关系到军事行动和成本管理。然而,由于备件需求具有间歇性和不规则性,使用传统的统计方法或单一的统计或机器学习模型往往难以做出准确的预测。在本文中,我们结合统计和机器学习算法,通过对天马公司备件需求数据的实验,提出了一种可以提高不规则备件需求模式需求预测准确性的模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Study on Improving the Accuracy of Demand Forecasting Based on Multi-Machine Learning
As the equipment of the military has become more advanced and expensive, the cost of securing spare parts is also constantly increasing along with the increase in equipment assets. In particular, forecasting demand for spare parts one of the important management tasks in the military, and the accuracy of these predictions is directly related to military operations and cost management. However, because the demand for spare parts is intermittent and irregular, it is often difficult to make accurate predictions using traditional statistical methods or a single statistical or machine learning model. In this paper, we propose a model that can increase the accuracy of demand forecasting for irregular patterns of spare parts demanding by using a combination of statistical and machine learning algorithm, and through experiments on Cheonma spare parts demanding data.
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