住房贷款审批影响因素研究

Chen Chen
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摘要

.本文旨在利用二元 Logit 回归和随机森林,全面探讨可能影响住房贷款审批的因素。随着住房贷款越来越普遍,近两年住房贷款不良率的上升导致贷款审批更加严格,贷款申请人的不确定性也更大。本研究通过研究住房贷款机构的数据,创建了一个预测申请人获得住房贷款能力的模型,并帮助申请人规划未来。数据集包括 480 条贷款记录和 12 个变量。基于二元 Logit 回归的模型通过了似然比检验,最终预测准确率为 81.64%,可以接受。结果表明,申请人的地区和信用状况对贷款审批有显著影响。通过随机森林法发现,除信用记录外,申请人月收入和贷款期限的权重也很高。总体而言,申请人可以根据这些因素的影响程度预测贷款审批情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on the Influencing Factors of Home Loan Approvals
. The purpose of this paper is to comprehensively discuss the factors that may impact the approval of housing loans using Binary Logit Regression and Random Forest. As housing loans have become more common, the increase in non-performing rates of housing loans in the last two years has led to stricter loan approvals and greater uncertainty for loan applicants. This study examines data from home loan lenders to create a model for predicting an applicant’s ability to obtain a home loan and to assist applicants in planning for the future. The dataset comprises 480 loan records and 12 variables. The model based on Binary Logit Regression passes the Likelihood Ratio Test with a final prediction accuracy of 81.64%, which is considered acceptable. The results indicate that the applicant’s region and credit status significantly affect loan approval. Through the Random Forest, it is found that in addition to credit history, the weights for monthly applicant income and loan term are also high. Overall, applicants can predict loan approval based on the degree of influence of these factors.
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