基于可解释机器学习框架的学习驾驶者驾驶考试结果分析

Yang Ding, Xiaohua Zhao, Ying Yao, Chenxi He, Rui Chai, Shuo Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

驾驶考试是检验学车者是否已掌握国家教学大纲规定能力的唯一途径。因此,探索影响驾考结果的关键因素对于帮助学车者掌握扎实的驾驶技能尤为重要。本研究采用可解释的机器学习(ML)方法,利用包括个人特征、训练模式、驾驶错误频率、扣分情况、训练合格次数百分比以及与驾驶行为相关的构造图得分在内的数据集,分析学车者通过驾驶技能考试(中国称为科目二考试)的概率。这些数据来自中国的一所驾校。通过改编光梯度提升机(LightGBM)ML 方法,构建了科目二考试结果预测模型。此外,还采用了SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)来探索关键影响因素与上述结果之间的关系。结果表明,LightGBM 可以有效预测科目二的考试结果。实车训练中的扣分(DP-RC)和虚拟现实(VR)训练中的驾驶错误频率(FE-VR)对通过科目二考试的概率有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Outcome of the Driving Test for Learner Drivers Based on an Interpretable Machine Learning Framework
The driving test is the only way to verify that learner drivers have acquired the competencies stipulated in the national curriculum. Therefore, exploring the key factors that influence the outcome of the driving test is of particular importance in assisting learner drivers to gain solid behind-the-wheel skills. Interpretable machine learning (ML) is employed to analyze the probability of learner drivers’ passing the driving skills test (called the Subject 2 test in China) using a data set comprising personal characteristics, training mode, frequency of driving errors, deducted points, percentage of qualified training times, and score of constructed graphs related to driving behaviors. The data are collected from a driving school in China. A prediction model of the Subject 2 test outcome is constructed by adapting the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) ML method. Furthermore, the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) is employed to explore the relationships between key influencing factors and the aforementioned outcome. The results indicate that the LightGBM predicts the outcome of the Subject 2 test effectively. The deducted points in the real car training (DP-RC) and the frequency of driving errors in virtual reality (VR) training (FE-VR) have a significant impact on the probability of passing the Subject 2 test.
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