金砖国家的社会经济层面:1990 至 2020 年三十年间的比较分析

S. Rout, Hrushikesh Mallick
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摘要

金砖国家不仅努力在发展中世界获得更多的政治和经济影响力,而且还在影响全球治理。然而,每个国家都面临着各自的经济问题和挑战。例如,印度经济严重放缓,而巴西则保持低速增长,同时还面临持续的高通胀和失业问题。南非一直深陷低增长率、青年失业率上升、高债务和不平等的泥潭。中国因与美国的贸易战而增长乏力,俄罗斯则因美国和欧盟的制裁而深受其害。尽管存在这些问题,但它们正试图与全球南部国家奠定坚实的合作基础,因为它们对西方主导全球机构的不满情绪正在上升。在此背景下,我们在此的主要重点是从比较评估的角度来理解社会经济层面,以了解和直观地显示它们在过去三十年(1990 年至 2020 年)中的相对发展状况。通过对数据的分析,研究清楚地观察到了其中明显的多样性。中国在社会经济方面取得了显著进步,印度紧随其后,而南非相对来说只取得了微不足道的成就。这表明,某些金砖国家在社会经济发展成果方面取得了长足进步,而其他国家在过去三十年(1990 年至 2020 年)里却受困于各种挑战,没有取得类似的成功,也尚未克服这些挑战。各经济体的经济发展不平衡,需要各经济体通过制定有效的经济政策来解决,如果要加强经济和社会合作,从更紧密的社会经济联系中相互受益,实现更高的经济发展,同时在世界舞台上发挥更大的影响力,那么这些经济体在任何经济发展参数方面的进展都低于平均水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The socioeconomic dimensions of BRICS: a comparative analysis over three decades 1990 to 2020
BRICS countries are not only striving to gain more political and economic clouts in the developing world but are also influencing global governance. However, each one is facing its own economic concerns and challenges. For instance, India has been witnessing a severe economic slowdown, while Brazil is maintaining a low growth rate along with persistent high inflation and unemployment problems. South Africa has been mired with low growth rate, rising youth unemployment, high debt and inequality. China has been suffering from a sluggish growth on account of the trade war with the US, and Russia has massively suffered from US and EU sanctions. Despite these problems, they are trying to lay a robust foundation of cooperation with the countries in the Global South amid their rising discontent over perceived Western dominance of the global institutions. With this background, our main focus here is to comprehend socioeconomic dimensions from a comparative assessment to develop an understanding and visualize their relative developmental positions over the last three decades (1990 to 2020). Analyzing the data, the study clearly observes visible diversities within them. While China’s socioeconomic dimensions have improved remarkably, followed by India, South Africa could achieve relatively only with minimal success. It demonstrates that certain BRICS countries while achieving significant strides in their socioeconomic development outcomes, others are encumbered and struggling with challenges over the last three decades (1990 to 2020) without witnessing similar success and yet to overcome those challenges. The uneven economic progress of economies needs to be addressed by individual economies by laying down efficient economic policies, which have been falling short of the average progress in any economic development parameters if their economic and social cooperation needs to be strengthened towards achieving higher economic progress by mutually benefitting from their stronger socioeconomic ties and simultaneously exert greater influence in the world stage.
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