Robert Bonett, Caleb D. Lloyd, Ariel G. Stone, James R. P. Ogloff
{"title":"小组会议可降低高危青少年的累犯率,而且根据会议参加者的不同,效果也会增强","authors":"Robert Bonett, Caleb D. Lloyd, Ariel G. Stone, James R. P. Ogloff","doi":"10.1177/15412040241258952","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We examined criminal records across adolescence for a sample of young people processed through a statewide Children’s Court ( N = 2366) between 2012 and 2018, some of who were referred to a group conferencing program ( n = 836). We also examined associations between different program elements and subsequent rates of recidivism, including victim, police, and family participation in the conference process. Recurrent-event survival analysis indicated group conferencing was associated with substantive reductions in the likelihood of recurrent recidivism (26–40% reduced likelihood), controlling for individual propensity for recidivism and both static and time-varying predictors. Within conference completers, binary logistic and negative binomial regression indicated conferences attended by secondary victims and primary police members were associated with larger reductions in post-conference recidivism, compared to conferences with primary victim participation only. Importantly, recidivism likelihood and rates did not differ between those attended by no victim or those attended by a primary victim.","PeriodicalId":508492,"journal":{"name":"Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice","volume":" 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Group Conferencing is Associated with Lower Rates of Repeated Recidivism Among Higher-Risk Youth and There are Enhanced Effects Based on Who Attended the Conference\",\"authors\":\"Robert Bonett, Caleb D. Lloyd, Ariel G. Stone, James R. P. Ogloff\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/15412040241258952\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We examined criminal records across adolescence for a sample of young people processed through a statewide Children’s Court ( N = 2366) between 2012 and 2018, some of who were referred to a group conferencing program ( n = 836). We also examined associations between different program elements and subsequent rates of recidivism, including victim, police, and family participation in the conference process. Recurrent-event survival analysis indicated group conferencing was associated with substantive reductions in the likelihood of recurrent recidivism (26–40% reduced likelihood), controlling for individual propensity for recidivism and both static and time-varying predictors. Within conference completers, binary logistic and negative binomial regression indicated conferences attended by secondary victims and primary police members were associated with larger reductions in post-conference recidivism, compared to conferences with primary victim participation only. Importantly, recidivism likelihood and rates did not differ between those attended by no victim or those attended by a primary victim.\",\"PeriodicalId\":508492,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice\",\"volume\":\" 11\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-06-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/15412040241258952\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/15412040241258952","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Group Conferencing is Associated with Lower Rates of Repeated Recidivism Among Higher-Risk Youth and There are Enhanced Effects Based on Who Attended the Conference
We examined criminal records across adolescence for a sample of young people processed through a statewide Children’s Court ( N = 2366) between 2012 and 2018, some of who were referred to a group conferencing program ( n = 836). We also examined associations between different program elements and subsequent rates of recidivism, including victim, police, and family participation in the conference process. Recurrent-event survival analysis indicated group conferencing was associated with substantive reductions in the likelihood of recurrent recidivism (26–40% reduced likelihood), controlling for individual propensity for recidivism and both static and time-varying predictors. Within conference completers, binary logistic and negative binomial regression indicated conferences attended by secondary victims and primary police members were associated with larger reductions in post-conference recidivism, compared to conferences with primary victim participation only. Importantly, recidivism likelihood and rates did not differ between those attended by no victim or those attended by a primary victim.