基于 STL 分解和 FEDformer 的咸阳市雾霾预测方法研究

Yanan Cao, Qian Zhou, Jinglei Tang, Zhenhong Liu
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摘要

受雾霾天气持续影响,咸阳市空气质量连续三年排名全省倒数第三。因此,改善空气质量迫在眉睫。雾霾污染预测具有重要的现实意义。通过及时准确地预测灰霾污染,政府和相关机构可以采取必要措施改善空气质量,保护生态系统。虽然传统的 RNN 和 LSTM 模型能有效捕捉历年雾霾数据中的时序信息进行预测,但由于雾霾预测的复杂性,要实现准确预测仍有一定难度。本研究利用多源大数据采集技术,成功采集了 8769 条异构数据。对空气质量指数、PM2.5、PM10、二氧化硫、二氧化氮、一氧化碳和臭氧等不同数据进行了数据转换、降维等一系列预处理操作。采用大数据融合和深度学习的方法整合雾霾数据,发现其中隐藏的规律和趋势。最后,本研究基于 FEDformer 模型和 STL 时间序列分解方法,建立了预测模型,在短期和长期时间序列预测问题上都取得了显著的改进。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on haze prediction method of Xianyang City based on STL decomposition and FEDformer
Due to the continuous impact of haze weather, Xianyang city's air quality has ranked in the bottom three of the province for three consecutive years. This has led to an urgent need to improve air quality. Haze pollution prediction is of great practical significance. By timely and accurate prediction of haze pollution, the government and relevant institutions can take necessary measures to improve air quality and protect the ecosystem. Although the traditional RNN and LSTM models can effectively capture the time sequence information in the haze data over the years for prediction, it is still difficult to achieve accurate prediction due to the complexity of haze prediction. In this study, 8769 pieces of heterogeneous data were successfully collected using multi-source big data acquisition technology. A series of pre-processing operations, including data conversion and dimensionality reduction, were performed on different data such as AQI, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO and O3. The method of big data fusion and deep learning is adopted to integrate haze data and discover hidden rules and trends in it. Finally, based on FEDformer model and STL time series decomposition method, the prediction model was established in this study, which achieved significant improvement in both short - and long-term time series prediction problems.
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