流动性与国内生产总值之比、商业活动和金融安全:对减贫的影响

Wasif Ali Khan, Komal Urooj, Amina Alamgir
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在发现金融发展对发展中经济体贫困问题的影响。研究使用了 50 个发展中国家(1995-2017 年)的面板数据,并使用广义矩法(GMM)技术对结果进行了估计。根据估计模型,流动性与国内生产总值之比(金融发展)对贫困的影响为负,随着金融发展的增加,贫困会减少。研究的结果变量是贫困,量化为人头比率。用于解释或预测贫困的其他主要解释变量是商业活动(通过经济增长率表示)和金融安全(通过就业表示)。数据来自世界发展指数、自由之家和透明国际。研究结果表明,流动性与国内生产总值(GDP)之比与贫困之间存在显著的反向关系,这意味着金融体系的加强有可能降低贫困水平。此外,贫困与商业活动以及与金融安全之间呈现负相关。研究结果证实了这一论断,即金融发展不仅能促进经济扩张,还能通过扩大贫困人口获得金融服务的机会来改善减贫状况。政策建议强调了加强新兴国家金融部门以成功减贫的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Liquidity-to-GDP Ratio, Business Activity, and Financial Security: Implications for Poverty Alleviation
Purpose of the research is to find the influence of financial development on poverty in developing economies. Panel data was used of 50 developing countries (1995-2017) and estimated the results by using Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique. According to the estimated model, the impact of liquidity-to-GDP ratio (financial development) on poverty was negative, as financial development increases poverty reduces. The outcome variable studied was poverty, which was quantified as the headcount ratio. The other main explanatory variables used to explain or predict poverty were business activity (proxied through economic growth rate) and financial security (proxied through employment). Data was obtained from WDI, Freedom House, and Transparency International. The findings demonstrate a substantial inverse connection amongst liquidity-to-GDP ratio and poverty, implying that enhanced financial systems have the potential to decrease levels of poverty. Furthermore, poverty exhibited negative relationships with business activity and that of with financial security. The results corroborate the assertion that financial development not only promotes economic expansion but also improves poverty alleviation by expanding the availability of financial services for impoverished individuals. Policy recommendations stress the significance of enhancing the financial sector in emerging nations to successfully alleviate poverty.
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