在 Covid-19 大流行期间影响印度尼西亚债券指数表现的因素

Dinda Febriana, R. Fitri, M. I. Irfany
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引用次数: 0

摘要

符合伊斯兰教法的债券或伊斯兰债券的表现会受到内部和外部因素的影响,如票面利率和宏观经济变量。本研究旨在探讨 "科维德-19 "大流行之前和期间,波动率指数(VIX 指数)、全球伊斯兰债券指数、BI 利率、消费者价格指数和汇率等变量对 2018 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月和 2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月印尼伊斯兰债券指数回报率的影响和贡献。研究方法采用向量误差修正模型(VECM)。在 Covid-19 大流行之前,印尼伊斯兰债券指数的长期回报率受 VIX 指数、BI 汇率和汇率的影响,而全球伊斯兰债券指数则不受影响。在 Covid-19 疫情期间,印尼伊斯兰债券指数的回报率受 VIX 指数、全球伊斯兰债券指数、通货膨胀和汇率的影响,但不受 BI 利率变量的影响。在 Covid-19 疫情期间,印尼伊斯兰债券指数的回报率主要受全球伊斯兰债券指数的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factors Influencing the Performance of Indonesia's Sukuk Index During the Covid-19 Pandemic
The performance of Sharia-compliant bonds or sukuk can be affected by both internal and external factors, such as coupon rates and macroeconomic variables. This study aims to examine the impact and contribution of variables, namely the volatility index (VIX index), global sukuk index, BI rate, Consumer Price Index, and exchange rates, on the return of the Indonesian sukuk index from January 2018 to February 2020 and from March 2020 to December 2022, before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. As a research method, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is applied. Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, the long-term return of the Indonesian sukuk index was driven by the VIX index, the BI rate, and exchange rates, whilst the global sukuk index had no influence. During the Covid-19 epidemic, the return of the Indonesian sukuk index was influenced by the VIX Index, the global sukuk index, inflation, and exchange rates, but was unaffected by the BI rate variable. During the Covid-19 epidemic, the return of Indonesian sukuk index was primarily driven by the global sukuk index.
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