COVID-19 爆发与证券交易所整体指数和中小型企业指数之间的波动溢出:来自印度的证据

S. Kushwah, Sonal Thukral
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了印度孟买证券交易所(BSE)波动率与 BSE 中小企业指数之间的动态相关性。研究利用广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型,重点分析了中小型企业和孟买证券交易所之间的波动溢出效应。本研究利用指数 GARCH 模型和阈值 GARCH 模型,扩展了研究范围,检验了当前的流行病 COVID-19 对中小型企业和上证指数波动的影响。研究结果表明,两个指数之间存在波动溢出效应。研究结果还突出表明,大流行病对两个指数的波动性产生了重大影响。研究结果为政策制定者、投资组合经理和投资者提供了重要启示,尤其是近年来印度政府一直强调中小企业的增长和持续支持,并增加对印度中小企业的外国投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The COVID-19 Outbreak and Volatility Spillover Between Stock Exchange’s Overall and Small- and Medium-enterprise Indices: Evidence from India
The research examines the dynamic correlation between the volatility of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the Small- and Medium-enterprises (SMEs) Index of BSE in India. It focuses on analysing the volatility spillover between SME and BSE by utilising the generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. The study extends its scope by examining the impact of the current pandemic, COVID-19, on the volatility of both SME and BSE by utilising the exponential GARCH and threshold GARCH models. Findings suggest that there is volatility spillover between the two indices. The results also highlight that the pandemic significantly affected the volatility of both indices. The findings of the study provide important implications for policymakers, portfolio managers, and investors, particularly when the Indian government has been emphasising on the growth and continuous support of the small and medium enterprises and increasing foreign investments in India’s SMEs in recent years.
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