金融发展与经济增长关系的面板数据分析:亚洲国家案例

İbrahim Halil Sugözü, Eriş Ünver
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引用次数: 0

摘要

经济增长与金融发展之间的因果关系对于经济增长的动力及其产生的金融背景至关重要。然而,对这一关系形式的怀疑可能会导致在实施经济政策时犹豫不决。本研究旨在分析这两个变量之间的关系并提供相关证据,以克服这种矛盾心理。在对 2000-2020 年间 24 个亚洲国家的面板数据分析中,首先应用了第二代单位根检验之一的横截面增量迪基-富勒(CADF)单位根检验,然后应用了 Dumitrescu & Hurlin(2012)的面板 Z_NT 因果检验。根据因果检验结果,GDP 与金融发展之间存在双向关系。此外,模型中作为控制变量的固定资本形成总额(GFCF)也与这两个变量存在双向关系。因此,支持供需双方理论相结合的互动观点的证据揭示了在经济决策中考虑这两个变量的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Panel Data Analysis on the Relationship between Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Asian Countries
The causal relationship between economic growth and financial development is crucial for the dynamics of economic growth and the financial background it generates. However, doubts about the shape of the relationship may lead to indecision in the economic policies to be implemented. The aim of this study is to analyze and provide evidence on the relationship between the two variables in order to overcome this ambivalence. In this panel data analysis of 24 Asian countries covering the 2000-2020 period, firstly Cross-sectionally Augmented Dickey-Fuller (CADF) Unit Root Test, one of the second-generation unit root tests, and then Dumitrescu & Hurlin (2012) Panel Z_NT causality tests were applied. According to the causality test results, there is a bidirectional relationship between GDP and financial development. In addition, gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), which is included in the model as a control variable, is also found to have a bidirectional relationship with both variables. Thus, the evidence supporting the interaction view that combines supply and demand side theories reveals the importance of taking both variables into account in economic policy decisions.
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