评估全球气候变化下的爬行动物保护状况

Biology Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI:10.3390/biology13060436
Qian Li, Weijie Shao, Ying Jiang, Chengzhi Yan, W. Liao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球气候变化导致物种分布模式发生变化并影响生物多样性,从而可能增加物种灭绝的风险。调查未来全球气候变化下物种的潜在分布范围对生物多样性保护和生态系统管理至关重要。在这项研究中,我们收集了5282种爬行动物的分布数据,利用物种分布模型根据分布范围评估其保护状况。我们的预测表明,在不同的情景下,这些物种中有一半以上的潜在分布范围将缩小。在碳排放量相对较低的未来情景下,受威胁爬行动物数量的增幅明显较低,这凸显了人类努力的重要性。令人惊讶的是,我们发现一些濒危物种的分布范围预计会扩大,这凸显了气候变化对一些特殊物种的潜在积极影响。我们的研究结果表明,由于气候变化,爬行动物物种面临的灭绝风险增加,并强调迫切需要减轻栖息地退化和人类活动对其未来潜在分布的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing Reptile Conservation Status under Global Climate Change
Global climate change drives variations in species distribution patterns and affects biodiversity, potentially increasing the risk of species extinction. Investigating the potential distribution range of species under future global climate change is crucial for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management. In this study, we collected distributional data for 5282 reptile species to assess their conservation status based on distributional ranges using species distribution models. Our predictions indicate that the potential distribution ranges for over half of these species are projected to decrease under different scenarios. Under future scenarios with relatively low carbon emissions, the increase in the number of threatened reptiles is significantly lower, highlighting the importance of human efforts. Surprisingly, we identified some endangered species that are projected to expand their distribution ranges, underscoring the potential positive effects of climate change on some special species. Our findings emphasize the increased extinction risk faced by reptile species due to climate change and highlight the urgent need to mitigate the effects of habitat degradation and human activities on their potential distribution in the future.
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