国家以下各级收入、增长与 COVID-19 大流行病

M. A. Choudhary, Ilaria Dal Barco, Ijlal A. Haqqani, Federico Lenzi, Nicola Limodio
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用实时数据和机器学习方法,我们生成了 2012 年至 2021 年巴基斯坦 147 个县的国民总收入 (GNI) 月度总量。我们利用这些数据来了解 COVID-19 大流行是否以及如何影响巴基斯坦的收入增长和国家以下各级的收入分配。我们的分析得出了三个结论。首先,在大流行病期间,各地区的收入大幅下降,其月增长率平均下降了 0.133 个百分点。其次,在 COVID-19 发生率较高的地区,收入下降幅度较大,这些地区与人口密度较高的城市地区相对应。第三,COVID-19 导致各地区收入不平等程度下降,较富裕地区在疫情期间的收入负增长更多。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Subnational Income, Growth, and the COVID-19 Pandemic
Using real-time data and machine-learning methods, we produce monthly aggregates on gross national income (GNI) for 147 Pakistani districts between 2012 and 2021. We use them to understand whether and how the COVID-19 pandemic affected the growth and subnational distribution of income in Pakistan. Three findings emerge from our analysis. First, districts experienced a sizable decline in income during the pandemic, as their monthly growth rate dropped on average by 0.133 percentage points. Second, a larger income drop took place in districts with a higher COVID-19 incidence, which correspond to urban areas characterized by a higher population density. Third, COVID-19 caused a decline in income inequality across districts, with richer districts experiencing more negative income growth during the pandemic.
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