重新审视母亲教育对青少年学习成绩的影响:基于网络的观察研究中的双稳健估计。

IF 1 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Vanessa McNealis, Erica E M Moodie, Nema Dean
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在很多情况下,特别是当研究对象是青少年时,同伴效应会使数据中典型的统计要求失效。例如,学生的学业成绩可能既受其母亲教育水平的影响,也受其同伴教育水平的影响。由于对基本社会网络进行了测量,"Add Health "研究提供了一个独特的机会来研究母亲的大学教育对青少年学习成绩的直接和间接影响。然而,由于典型的无干扰假设不再成立,因此对嵌入社会网络的人群进行因果推断面临技术挑战。虽然针对这种情况已经开发出了治疗概率反向加权(IPW)估算器,但这些估算器往往非常不稳定。受孕产妇教育问题的启发,我们提出了结合治疗模型和结果模型的双重稳健(DR)估计器,如果其中任何一个模型指定正确,这些估计器都是一致和渐近正常的。我们提出的实证结果表明了 DR 特性以及 DR 相对于 IPW 估计器的效率增益,即使在处理模型被错误指定的情况下也是如此。与以往的研究相反,我们的稳健分析没有提供证据表明,在 Add Health 的青少年社交圈中,母亲教育对学习成绩有间接影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Revisiting the effects of maternal education on adolescents' academic performance: Doubly robust estimation in a network-based observational study.

In many contexts, particularly when study subjects are adolescents, peer effects can invalidate typical statistical requirements in the data. For instance, it is plausible that a student's academic performance is influenced both by their own mother's educational level as well as that of their peers. Since the underlying social network is measured, the Add Health study provides a unique opportunity to examine the impact of maternal college education on adolescent school performance, both direct and indirect. However, causal inference on populations embedded in social networks poses technical challenges, since the typical no interference assumption no longer holds. While inverse probability-of-treatment weighted (IPW) estimators have been developed for this setting, they are often highly unstable. Motivated by the question of maternal education, we propose doubly robust (DR) estimators combining models for treatment and outcome that are consistent and asymptotically normal if either model is correctly specified. We present empirical results that illustrate the DR property and the efficiency gain of DR over IPW estimators even when the treatment model is misspecified. Contrary to previous studies, our robust analysis does not provide evidence of an indirect effect of maternal education on academic performance within adolescents' social circles in Add Health.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
76
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics) is a journal of international repute for statisticians both inside and outside the academic world. The journal is concerned with papers which deal with novel solutions to real life statistical problems by adapting or developing methodology, or by demonstrating the proper application of new or existing statistical methods to them. At their heart therefore the papers in the journal are motivated by examples and statistical data of all kinds. The subject-matter covers the whole range of inter-disciplinary fields, e.g. applications in agriculture, genetics, industry, medicine and the physical sciences, and papers on design issues (e.g. in relation to experiments, surveys or observational studies). A deep understanding of statistical methodology is not necessary to appreciate the content. Although papers describing developments in statistical computing driven by practical examples are within its scope, the journal is not concerned with simply numerical illustrations or simulation studies. The emphasis of Series C is on case-studies of statistical analyses in practice.
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