控制策略对衣原体病传播动态影响的数学分析

N. Nyerere , Y.A. Liana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于衣原体病对人类生殖系统的影响,它仍然是发达国家和发展中国家的主要公共卫生问题。虽然对该疾病的传播动态进行了有限的建模研究,但没有一项研究探讨了环境卫生与其他控制策略相结合所产生的影响。在本文中,我们提出了一个数学模型来研究公共卫生教育、易感人群疫苗接种、无症状感染者治疗和环境卫生的影响。基本繁殖数是通过下一代算子计算得出的,并用于平衡点的稳定性分析。我们还利用归一化前向敏感性指数对模型进行了敏感性分析,以确定对有效繁殖数有重大影响的参数。分析求解和数值模拟的结果表明,公共卫生教育、疫苗接种、治疗和环境卫生能显著降低衣原体病在人群中的发病率和流行率。因此,研究建议实施这些控制措施,尤其是在疾病流行的地区。因此,这项研究的结果可用于支持衣原体病控制策略的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A mathematical analysis of the effects of control strategies on the transmission dynamics of Chlamydiosis

Chlamydiosis remains a major public health concern in both developed and developing countries due to its effects on the human reproductive system. While limited modeling studies have been conducted on the transmission dynamics of the disease, none of them have examined the impacts of the combination of environmental hygiene and other control strategies. In this paper, we present a mathematical model to investigate the impacts of public health education, vaccination of susceptible individuals, treatment of symptomatic infected individuals, and environmental hygiene. The basic reproduction number is computed using the next-generation operator and is employed in the stability analysis of equilibrium points. We also perform a sensitivity analysis of the model using a normalized forward sensitivity index to identify the parameters significantly affecting the effective reproduction number. Findings from analytical solutions and numerical simulations demonstrate that, public health education, vaccination, treatment, and environmental hygiene significantly reduce chlamydiosis incidence and prevalence in the population. Consequently, the study recommends implementing these control measures, particularly in regions where the disease is endemic. Thus, findings from this study could be utilized to support decision-making in Chlamydiosis control strategies.

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