理解大流行病中的逆城市化和再城市化:中国人口迁移行为的启示

IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Dapeng Zhang, Zhang Yiwen, Guangshuai Fu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了在 COVID-19 大流行期间和之后,从大城市向小城市迁移、从城市向农村迁移(逆城市化)以及逆向迁移(再城市化)背后的驱动因素。通过对 2020 年 1 月至 2023 年 4 月期间全国 1000 名受访者的回顾性调查,我们探讨了与疫情相关的因素如何影响人口迁移行为。我们建立了一个理论框架,整合了推拉理论、风险认知理论和人力资本理论。我们采用方框图可视化的方法来研究大流行期间逆城市化的动机,并应用回归模型来识别驱动逆城市化和再城市化的复杂因素。主要研究结果表明,疫情引发的不安全感以及对病毒预防措施的严格性和有效性的看法极大地影响了迁移决策。值得注意的是,农村老家的土地所有权是农村人口的重要 "安全网",影响着他们的迁移决策。本研究区分了城市向农村和大城市向小城市的迁移类型,并比较了这两种迁移过程背后的驱动因素。通过关注逆城市化和再城市化,本研究强调了在公共卫生危机背景下形成移民模式的心理、政策和经济因素的相互作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Understanding counter-urbanization and re-urbanization in pandemic: Insights from People's migration behavior in China

This study investigates the drivers behind migration from larger to smaller cities and from urban to rural areas (counter-urbanization), along with the reverse migration (re-urbanization) during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Utilizing a retrospective survey of 1000 respondents across China from January 2020 to April 2023, we explored how pandemic-related factors influenced migration behaviors. A theoretical framework integrating push-pull, risk perception, and human capital theories was developed. Boxplot visualization was used to examine the motivations for counter-urbanization during the pandemic, and regression models were applied to identify the complex factors driving both counter-urbanization and re-urbanization. Key findings reveal that pandemic-induced insecurity and perceptions of the strictness and effectiveness of virus prevention measures significantly influenced migration decisions. Notably, land ownership in rural hometowns served as a crucial "safety net" for rural populations, affecting their migration decisions. This study differentiates between migration types: urban-to-rural versus larger-to-smaller cities, and compares the driving factors behind both processes. By focusing on both counter-urbanization and re-urbanization, this research highlights the interplay of psychological, policy, and economic factors that shape migration patterns in the context of public health crises.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
10.30%
发文量
151
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.
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