Epidemiology and impact of chronic disease multimorbidity in India: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Objectives: This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of multimorbidity, its risk factors including socioeconomic factors, and the consequences of multimorbidity on health systems and broader society in India.

Methods: A systematic review of both published and grey literature from five databases (Medline, Embase, EBSCO, Scopus, and ProQuest) was conducted including original studies documenting prevalence or patient outcomes associated with multimorbidity among adults in India. We excluded studies that did not explicitly mention multimorbidity. Three independent reviewers did primary screening based on titles and abstracts followed by full-text review for potential eligibility. The risk of bias was independently assessed by two reviewers following the Appraisal Tool for Cross-Sectional Studies. We presented both qualitative and quantitative (through meta-analysis) summaries of the evidence. The protocol for this study was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021257281).

Results: The review identified 5442 articles out of which 35 articles were finally included in this study. Twenty-three studies were based on the primary data while 12 used secondary data. Eleven studies were conducted in hospital/primary care setting while 24 were community-based. The pooled prevalence of multimorbidity based on (n=19) studies included for meta-analysis was 20% (95% CI: 19% to 20%). The most frequent outcomes were increased healthcare utilization, reduced health-related quality of life, physical and mental functioning.

Conclusion: We identified a wide variance in the magnitude of multimorbidity across age groups and regions with most of the studies from eastern India. Nation-wide studies, studies on vulnerable populations and interventions are warranted.