1986 年切尔诺贝利灾难军事清理人员的主要预期寿命风险

V. I. Legeza, S. Grigoriev, G. G. Zagorodnikov, V. M. Reznik, N. V. Aksenova
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摘要

相关性。当前的现实(包括在乌克兰的特别军事行动)充斥着急剧增加的核恐怖主义威胁。在这方面,消除 1986 年切尔诺贝利核电站(Chernobyl NPP)灾难--人类历史上最大的人为辐射灾难--的医疗后果是值得深入分析的宝贵经验。本研究分析了俄罗斯联邦国防部军队医疗登记处的初步账目和报告,其中包含 1986 年切尔诺贝利核电站灾难中 158 名清算人员的信息。研究的重点是清算人员的预期寿命与吸收的外部γ和β辐射剂量、部署到灾难现场时的年龄、停留时间、事故阶段和职业活动的相关性。清算人吸收的外部γ和β辐射剂量与预期寿命之间并不存在密切的相关性。影响切尔诺贝利灾难清理人员预期寿命的关键因素是部署时的年龄(40 岁以下)、在国家核电厂的停留时间(50 天以上),包括在急性阶段和涉及高风险的工作。切尔诺贝利核电站清理人员的预期寿命缩短风险与外部γ和β辐射的吸收剂量关系不大。根据研究结果可以得出结论,切尔诺贝利放射性危险区的停留时间和部署时的年龄可能是影响切尔诺贝利清算人员预期寿命的高风险因素。同时,所研究的预测因素均未对切尔诺贝利事故清理人员的 25 年生存率产生任何重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Major life expectancy risks in the military liquidators of the Chernobyl disaster in 1986
Relevance. The current realities (including the special military operation in Ukraine) are impregnated with a sharp increase in nuclear terrorism threats. In this regard, elimination of medical consequences of the 1986 Chernobyl nuclear power plant (Chernobyl NPP) disaster – the largest man-made radiation disaster in human history – is valuable experience that merits thorough analysis.The objective is to analyze risk factor impact on the life expectancy of liquidators engaged in eliminating the Chernobyl disaster consequences.Methods. The study analyzed initial accounts and reports of the Army Medical Register of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, containing information on 158 liquidators of the Chernobyl NPP disaster in 1986. The study focused on liquidator life expectancy in correlation with the absorbed external γ and β radiation dose, age at disaster site deployment, length of stay, the phase of accident, and professional activity.Results and analysis. The liquidators did not show a robust correlation between the absorbed external γ and β radiation dose and life expectancy. The key factors affecting the life expectancy of Chernobyl disaster liquidators were age at the time of deployment (under 40 years), length of stay at the NPP (over 50 days), including during the acute phase, work involving high risks. The absorbed dose of external γ- and β- radiation did not contribute significantly to shorter life expectancy risks among Chernobyl liquidators.Conclusion. The study results allow to conclude that the length of stay in the hazardous radioactive zone and the age of liq uidators at the time of deployment are the likely high-risk factors, affecting life expectancy of Chernobyl liquidators. Meanwhile, none of the studied predictor factors showed any significant impact on the 25-year survival of Chernobyl liquidators.
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